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Parasect — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Uncommon

Parasect

CGC 10Simulated

Parasect · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Uncommon · 47

Character: Parasect

high confidencebearish2830d 25.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$73.27
Lowest listing $62.8914.2% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$60.36
Base Case
$73.27
Bull Case
$85.54

Price History

Dec 8Range $101 – $172Jun 5

Opportunity Score

47
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish28

Parasect (CGC 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-25.2%). Estimated fair value is $73 against a lowest active listing of $63. Valuation confidence is high based on 11-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-25.2% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
11
Sales / Month
17.0
Velocity Score
85/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.1%
Total Graded
896
Gem Mint
453
Population Growth
-0.4%
Stable supply

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-79.2%
Grading not economical
scarce population

Only 441 graded copies exist (31% gem) — a scarce, thin supply.

441 graded · 31% gem · +4.7%/mo

Raw cost
$62.89
All-in cost
$91.89+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$73.27
Expected proceeds
$19.1230% gem → $21.98 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$72.77
Breakeven graded value
$352value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated

Not enough recent sales to model liquidity for this asset. At least three in-window sales are needed for a reliable read.

Comp Explorer

Min
$128
Median
$138
Mean
$138
Max
$146

Showing 7 of 7 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps77.3550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices70.6625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection73.7825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.1950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.2120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$105MercariGraded8775d agoJan 1View
$106PWCCGraded9965d agoJan 1View
$109PWCCGraded6164d agoJan 1View
$115eBayGraded7972d agoJan 1View
$117eBayGraded8069d agoJan 1View
$118PWCCGraded8758d agoJan 1View
$120TCGPlayerGraded7961d agoJan 1View
$122TCGPlayerGraded6869d agoJun 8View
$123TCGPlayerGraded9164d agoJan 1View
$125eBayGraded9571d agoJan 1View
$127TCGPlayerGraded8659d agoJun 6View
$129TCGPlayerGraded9460d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$128TCGPlayerGraded65d ago
$129PWCCGraded87d ago
$145MercariGraded93d ago
$138PWCCGraded96d ago
$132TCGPlayerGraded108d ago
$146PWCCGraded108d ago
$145TCGPlayerGraded112d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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