Charizard Holo Rare
SimulatedCharizard Holo Rare · Evolving Skies · Holo Rare · 94/237
Character: Charizard
Price History
Opportunity Score
52- 20% below fair value+23 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish25Charizard Holo Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-20.2%). Estimated fair value is $215 against a lowest active listing of $172. Valuation confidence is high based on 11-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-20.2% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 218.22 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 198.52 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 206.02 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.15 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $229 | eBay | Near Mint | 95 | 12d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $244 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $246 | Mercari | Near Mint | 99 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $247 | eBay | Near Mint | 72 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $249 | Mercari | Near Mint | 67 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $249 | Mercari | Near Mint | 77 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $260 | PWCC | Near Mint | 99 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $272 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $278 | eBay | Near Mint | 74 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $282 | PWCC | Near Mint | 73 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $283 | eBay | Near Mint | 80 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $283 | Mercari | Near Mint | 65 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $255 | Mercari | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $247 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $261 | eBay | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $256 | Mercari | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $256 | PWCC | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $226 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $254 | Mercari | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $251 | Mercari | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $211 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $222 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $233 | PWCC | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $234 | PWCC | Near Mint | 20d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $757 | $710 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 16 | 29 |
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,552 | $6,702 | 11.3% | 16.7% | 9 | 41 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $574 | $493 | 14.0% | 5.0% | 22 | 53 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $438 | $382 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 17 | 36 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $953 | $883 | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6 | 35 |
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $672 | $610 | 9.2% | 2.4% | 20 | 36 |