Espeon Holo Rare
CGC 10SimulatedEspeon Holo Rare · Neo Genesis · Holo Rare · 16/111
Character: Espeon
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- 15% below fair value+18 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish13Espeon Holo Rare (CGC 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.7%). Estimated fair value is $1155 against a lowest active listing of $977. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-15.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1158.22 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1123.8 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1134.58 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.31 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.39 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $833 | eBay | Graded | 93 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $833 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 71 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $836 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 92 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $837 | PWCC | Graded | 79 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $883 | eBay | Graded | 76 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $927 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 99 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $943 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $954 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $971 | eBay | Graded | 91 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $988 | PWCC | Graded | 87 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $992 | Mercari | Graded | 92 | 5d ago | May 31 | View |
| $1,016 | Mercari | Graded | 96 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $921 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $885 | Mercari | Graded | 4d ago |
| $953 | Mercari | Graded | 4d ago |
| $851 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $936 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $998 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $999 | eBay | Graded | 7d ago |
| $1,007 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 8d ago |
| $1,065 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $1,049 | PWCC | Graded | 10d ago |
| $1,057 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $1,027 | Mercari | Graded | 14d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,337 | $1,071 | 19.8% | 31.4% | 13 | 53 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,548 | $1,385 | 10.6% | 13.6% | 22 | 51 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,010 | $831 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 18 | 46 |
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $535 | $445 | 16.8% | 21.8% | 14 | 52 |
Espeon Holo RareFossilSimulated
| $465 | $434 | 6.7% | 2.0% | 12 | 28 |
Espeon ex (Special Illustration)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $298 | $289 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3 | 38 |