Diglett
SimulatedDiglett · XY Evolutions · Common · 55
Character: Diglett
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 11% below fair value+12 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish30Diglett is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.4%). Estimated fair value is $29 against a lowest active listing of $26. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-15.4% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $25.88
- All-in cost
- $54.88+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $104
- Expected proceeds
- $27.0230% gem → $31.06 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.86
- Breakeven graded value
- $210value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.9dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 42.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -22.7%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 14active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $86.18mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $66.60cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $72.22
- Median
- $87.74
- Mean
- $87.26
- Max
- $102
Showing 16 of 17 sales · 1 outlier trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 29.93 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 29.21 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 28.51 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.55 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66.60 | PWCC | Near Mint | 92 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $67.11 | Mercari | Near Mint | 93 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $69.37 | PWCC | Near Mint | 71 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $69.39 | PWCC | Near Mint | 91 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $71.82 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $73.88 | PWCC | Near Mint | 61 | 55d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $75.95 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 74 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $79.81 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 98 | 70d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $82.12 | PWCC | Near Mint | 61 | 70d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $82.89 | PWCC | Near Mint | 76 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $83.06 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $83.21 | PWCC | Near Mint | 97 | 61d ago | Jun 10 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $72.22 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $75.70 | Mercari | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $80.53 | PWCC | Near Mint | 65d ago |
| $85.89 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $92.11 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $102 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $88.94 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $90.98 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 81d ago |
| $83.39 | eBay | Near Mint | 82d ago |
| $90.12 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 89d ago |
| $82.94 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 94d ago |
| $86.53 | PWCC | Near Mint | 98d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CharizardXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $69,897 | $60,927 | 12.8% | 5.1% | 22 | 44 |
 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,615 | $2,453 | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4 | 39 |
 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,260 | $2,074 | 8.2% | 8.7% | 22 | 36 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $2,890 | $2,422 | 16.2% | 24.8% | 8 | 51 |
 Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,040 | $866 | 16.7% | 24.2% | 16 | 43 |
Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $354 | $339 | 4.3% | 15.5% | 16 | 35 |