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Espeon Holo Rare

CGC 10Simulated

Espeon Holo Rare · Neo Genesis · Holo Rare · 16/111

Character: Espeon

high confidencebearish1330d 15.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,155
Lowest listing $97715.4% below
Bear Case
$962
Base Case
$1,155
Bull Case
$1,343

Price History

Dec 2Range $835$1.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

44
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish13

Espeon Holo Rare (CGC 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.7%). Estimated fair value is $1155 against a lowest active listing of $977. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-15.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.9%
Total Graded
5,864
Gem Mint
2,474
Population Growth
+4.6%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1158.2250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1123.825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1134.5825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.3150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.3920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$833eBayGraded9313d agoJan 1View
$833TCGPlayerGraded713d agoJan 1View
$836TCGPlayerGraded9220d agoJan 1View
$837PWCCGraded7910d agoJan 1View
$883eBayGraded7621d agoJan 1View
$927Facebook MarketplaceGraded9920d agoJan 1View
$943TCGPlayerGraded7717d agoJan 1View
$954eBayGraded9419d agoJan 1View
$971eBayGraded9121d agoJan 1View
$988PWCCGraded8720d agoJan 1View
$992MercariGraded925d agoMay 31View
$1,016MercariGraded968d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$921eBayGraded2d ago
$885MercariGraded4d ago
$953MercariGraded4d ago
$851MercariGraded5d ago
$936MercariGraded5d ago
$998eBayGraded6d ago
$999eBayGraded7d ago
$1,007Facebook MarketplaceGraded8d ago
$1,065TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$1,049PWCCGraded10d ago
$1,057eBayGraded13d ago
$1,027MercariGraded14d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
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Espeon Holo RareFossilSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$465$4346.7%2.0%1228
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  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$298$2893.0%3.2%338