Gengar VMAX (Alt Art)
PSA 9.5SimulatedGengar VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 27/237
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish89Gengar VMAX (Alt Art) (PSA 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.8%). Estimated fair value is $663 against a lowest active listing of $710. Valuation confidence is medium based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+20.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 604.41 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 729.57 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 663.33 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.13 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.06 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $507 | Mercari | Graded | 11d ago |
| $513 | Mercari | Graded | 17d ago |
| $474 | eBay | Graded | 20d ago |
| $428 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 22d ago |
| $418 | Mercari | Graded | 34d ago |
| $430 | PWCC | Graded | 37d ago |
| $397 | Mercari | Graded | 41d ago |
| $382 | PWCC | Graded | 42d ago |
| $368 | PWCC | Graded | 45d ago |
| $440 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 50d ago |
| $400 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 53d ago |
| $454 | PWCC | Graded | 55d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $244 | $220 | 9.9% | 4.3% | 7 | 42 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $575 | $538 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 17 | 38 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,651 | $1,514 | 8.3% | 6.5% | 22 | 42 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $303 | $306 | -1.1% | 3.5% | 2 | 34 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $712 | $585 | 17.9% | 1.4% | 15 | 56 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $709 | $641 | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10 | 44 |