Pelipper
SimulatedPelipper · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 19
Character: Pelipper
Price History
Opportunity Score
38- Low active inventory+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral45Pelipper is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.5%). Estimated fair value is $24 against a lowest active listing of $24. Valuation confidence is medium based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $23.52
- All-in cost
- $52.52+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $94.08
- Expected proceeds
- $24.5530% gem → $28.22 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.97
- Breakeven graded value
- $201value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.1dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 53.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +17.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 18active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $108mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $127cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $78.47
- Median
- $97.38
- Mean
- $98.17
- Max
- $125
Showing 35 of 36 sales · 1 outlier trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 22.64 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 25.23 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 24 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.66 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $127 | PWCC | Near Mint | 92 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $129 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 86 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | PWCC | Near Mint | 81 | 63d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $131 | Mercari | Near Mint | 78 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $143 | PWCC | Near Mint | 79 | 66d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $145 | PWCC | Near Mint | 61 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $146 | eBay | Near Mint | 98 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $147 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 75d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $149 | Mercari | Near Mint | 62 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $154 | Mercari | Near Mint | 73 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | Mercari | Near Mint | 64 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $158 | eBay | Near Mint | 67 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $142 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $125 | Mercari | Near Mint | 65d ago |
| $120 | eBay | Near Mint | 65d ago |
| $123 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $109 | eBay | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $103 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $122 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $115 | eBay | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $111 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $110 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $105 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $103 | eBay | Near Mint | 78d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| $327 | $269 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 16 | 57 |
 SilcoonEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $140 | $154 | -10.5% | 31.7% | 2 | 41 |
 WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $269 | $233 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4 | 66 |
 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $140 | $118 | 15.8% | 22.8% | 16 | 62 |
 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $176 | $150 | 14.7% | 5.4% | 7 | 50 |
 BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $98.26 | $92.61 | 5.8% | 77.0% | 22 | 38 |