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Pinsir — Prismatic Evolutions — Common

Pinsir

Simulated

Pinsir · Prismatic Evolutions · Common · 3

Character: Pinsir

high confidenceneutral5030d 5.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$21.33
Lowest listing $20.623.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$18.05
Base Case
$21.33
Bull Case
$24.47

Price History

Dec 8Range $47.82 – $80.65Jun 5

Opportunity Score

27
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • 3% below fair value+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral50

Pinsir is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.4%). Estimated fair value is $21 against a lowest active listing of $21. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-5.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
16.5
Velocity Score
83/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.0%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-56.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$20.62
All-in cost
$49.62+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$82.48
Expected proceeds
$21.5330% gem → $24.74 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$28.09
Breakeven graded value
$190value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
7.2dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
22.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-15.7%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$73.07mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$61.61cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$59.52
Median
$71.93
Mean
$71.78
Max
$79.01

Showing 8 of 8 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps21.9650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices23.1125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection2025%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$61.61TCGPlayerNear Mint7859d agoJun 6View
$62.28TCGPlayerNear Mint6160d agoJan 1View
$63.57TCGPlayerNear Mint7674d agoJan 1View
$65.70MercariNear Mint8970d agoJun 10View
$68.10TCGPlayerNear Mint8272d agoJun 10View
$69.26MercariNear Mint8462d agoJun 10View
$69.81PWCCNear Mint7266d agoJun 6View
$70.63Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9265d agoJan 1View
$70.75PWCCNear Mint8365d agoJan 1View
$72.00MercariNear Mint8769d agoJan 1View
$72.12eBayNear Mint8367d agoJan 1View
$73.06PWCCNear Mint8964d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$71.25TCGPlayerNear Mint56d ago
$72.60PWCCNear Mint68d ago
$67.22eBayNear Mint68d ago
$78.86TCGPlayerNear Mint75d ago
$79.01TCGPlayerNear Mint83d ago
$69.48Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint90d ago
$59.52MercariNear Mint90d ago
$76.28MercariNear Mint106d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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