Lugia VMAX (Alt Art)
SimulatedLugia VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 148/237
Character: Lugia
Price History
Opportunity Score
30- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
- Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish62Lugia VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+2.7%). Estimated fair value is $502 against a lowest active listing of $475. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 499.97 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 535.13 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 507.35 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.71 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $540 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $445 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $431 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $476 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $494 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $510 | PWCC | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $528 | Mercari | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $528 | Mercari | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $434 | eBay | Near Mint | 39d ago |
| $472 | eBay | Near Mint | 42d ago |
| $504 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $535 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 48d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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