PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsScreenersAlertsPortfolioAlpha FeedPlans & BillingData SourcesSettings

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Live data not configuredNumbers are backed by a real but dated snapshot. Enable real marketplace listings for live intelligence.How to enable
Back to dashboard
Flaaffy — Neo Genesis — Uncommon

Flaaffy

Simulated

Flaaffy · Neo Genesis · Uncommon · 34

Character: Flaaffy

high confidencebullish9130d ▲32.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$147
Lowest listing $1395.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$126
Base Case
$147
Bull Case
$170

Price History

Dec 8Range $122 – $234Jun 5

Opportunity Score

36
  • Price up 32% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Flaaffy is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+32.5%). Estimated fair value is $147 against a lowest active listing of $139. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+32.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-7.9%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-13.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$139
All-in cost
$168+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$555
Expected proceeds
$14530% gem → $167 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$22.89
Breakeven graded value
$643value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
38.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-18.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$145mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$118cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$124
Median
$155
Mean
$153
Max
$187

Showing 22 of 22 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps138.3650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices159.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection160.6325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.5820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$118Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9567d agoJun 7View
$118eBayNear Mint6860d agoJan 1View
$119Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6362d agoJun 10View
$125TCGPlayerNear Mint9960d agoJan 1View
$125PWCCNear Mint7873d agoJan 1View
$126TCGPlayerNear Mint8173d agoJan 1View
$131MercariNear Mint7057d agoJan 1View
$134PWCCNear Mint7965d agoJan 1View
$138Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6359d agoJun 8View
$140Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9471d agoJun 10View
$141eBayNear Mint6157d agoJan 1View
$143MercariNear Mint7169d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$130PWCCNear Mint58d ago
$124PWCCNear Mint61d ago
$137MercariNear Mint65d ago
$125Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint65d ago
$141Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint67d ago
$136MercariNear Mint67d ago
$135Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint75d ago
$163MercariNear Mint80d ago
$144eBayNear Mint83d ago
$167PWCCNear Mint84d ago
$168Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint84d ago
$155MercariNear Mint85d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Lugia (Neo Genesis) — Neo Genesis — Holo Rare
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $511 · sales-derived, ungradedView $300 · TCGPlayer
  • 34% below fair value+35 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$1,597$1,05633.9%▼7.1%163
Flaaffy — HeartGold SoulSilver — Uncommon
FlaaffyHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$197$17511.5%▲8.2%1446
Steelix — Neo Genesis — Rare Holo
SteelixNeo GenesisSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$235$20612.2%▼14.8%1937
Quilava — Neo Genesis — Uncommon
QuilavaNeo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$295$25314.3%▼1.0%2046
Heracross — Neo Genesis — Rare Holo
HeracrossNeo GenesisBGS 9.5Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$208$1899.2%▼7.2%1441
Seadra — Neo Genesis — Uncommon
SeadraNeo GenesisCGC 9Simulated
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$230$2242.6%▼26.1%338