Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)
SimulatedUmbreon ex (Illustration Rare) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Illustration Rare · 8/207
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
33- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+4 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish72Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.9%). Estimated fair value is $242 against a lowest active listing of $227. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 234.43 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 253.05 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 255.89 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.01 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $219 | eBay | Near Mint | 19h ago |
| $208 | PWCC | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $208 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $215 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $239 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $241 | eBay | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $205 | PWCC | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $246 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $228 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $243 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $245 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $257 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $659 | $576 | 12.6% | 7.4% | 4 | 49 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $306 | $268 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10 | 52 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,529 | $1,311 | 14.2% | 0.8% | 19 | 45 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $284 | $230 | 19.0% | 22.0% | 12 | 53 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $535 | $465 | 13.1% | 14.0% | 19 | 46 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $385 | $358 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 7 | 42 |