PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Mew ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Mew ex (Special Illustration) · Evolving Skies · Special Illustration Rare · 225/237

Character: Mew

high confidencebullish6830d 1.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$401
Lowest listing $36010.3% below
Bear Case
$344
Base Case
$401
Bull Case
$459

Price History

Dec 2Range $315$470May 30

Opportunity Score

41
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish68

Mew ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.5%). Estimated fair value is $401 against a lowest active listing of $360. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
19.5
Velocity Score
98/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+7.5%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps380.9150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices423.9525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection396.1725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$349TCGPlayerNear Mint1005d agoJan 1View
$350Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6412d agoJan 1View
$406TCGPlayerNear Mint826d agoJan 1View
$418PWCCNear Mint655d agoJan 1View
$422MercariNear Mint1003d agoJun 3View
$433MercariNear Mint8716d agoJan 1View
$447TCGPlayerNear Mint8015d agoJan 1View
$452TCGPlayerNear Mint913d agoJan 1View
$461Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7916d agoJan 1View
$463PWCCNear Mint9810d agoJun 2View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$375PWCCNear Mint2d ago
$407MercariNear Mint3d ago
$366TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$341eBayNear Mint15d ago
$360TCGPlayerNear Mint17d ago
$353Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint19d ago
$459TCGPlayerNear Mint43d ago
$471PWCCNear Mint46d ago
$446MercariNear Mint47d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
$246$2258.8%15.2%652
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$597$5665.2%22.1%649
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$1,603$1,43910.3%3.2%1046
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$318$3073.5%7.8%638
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
$704$6625.9%27.1%941
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
$729$6718.0%8.4%943