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Gyarados V (Full Art)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Gyarados V (Full Art) · XY Evolutions · Full Art · 32/108

Character: Gyarados

medium confidencebearish3330d 5.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$310
Lowest listing $26813.5% below
Bear Case
$272
Base Case
$310
Bull Case
$348

Price History

Dec 2Range $184$342May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish33

Gyarados V (Full Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.7%). Estimated fair value is $310 against a lowest active listing of $268. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-5.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and rising graded population (6.5%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.6%
Total Graded
5,662
Gem Mint
3,123
Population Growth
+6.5%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps307.2750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices309.0325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection305.4725%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-3.2650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.3220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$264MercariGraded7818d agoJan 1View
$269Facebook MarketplaceGraded6317d agoJun 4View
$273PWCCGraded637d agoJan 1View
$277TCGPlayerGraded815d agoJan 1View
$282MercariGraded7812d agoJan 1View
$283eBayGraded6311d agoJan 1View
$286Facebook MarketplaceGraded9913d agoJan 1View
$295MercariGraded9817d agoJan 1View
$298MercariGraded9317d agoJan 1View
$305MercariGraded698d agoJun 1View
$307TCGPlayerGraded6919d agoJan 1View
$308eBayGraded6915d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$283TCGPlayerGraded2d ago
$278PWCCGraded8d ago
$287PWCCGraded8d ago
$341PWCCGraded17d ago
$296MercariGraded20d ago
$310PWCCGraded22d ago
$299PWCCGraded23d ago
$298eBayGraded28d ago
$269eBayGraded31d ago
$302eBayGraded53d ago
$280Facebook MarketplaceGraded57d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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