Gyarados V (Full Art)
BGS 9.5SimulatedGyarados V (Full Art) · XY Evolutions · Full Art · 32/108
Character: Gyarados
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Low active inventory+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish33Gyarados V (Full Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.7%). Estimated fair value is $310 against a lowest active listing of $268. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-5.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and rising graded population (6.5%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 307.27 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 309.03 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 305.47 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.26 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.32 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $264 | Mercari | Graded | 78 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $269 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 63 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $273 | PWCC | Graded | 63 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $277 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 81 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $282 | Mercari | Graded | 78 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $283 | eBay | Graded | 63 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $286 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 99 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $295 | Mercari | Graded | 98 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $298 | Mercari | Graded | 93 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $305 | Mercari | Graded | 69 | 8d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $307 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 69 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $308 | eBay | Graded | 69 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $283 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 2d ago |
| $278 | PWCC | Graded | 8d ago |
| $287 | PWCC | Graded | 8d ago |
| $341 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $296 | Mercari | Graded | 20d ago |
| $310 | PWCC | Graded | 22d ago |
| $299 | PWCC | Graded | 23d ago |
| $298 | eBay | Graded | 28d ago |
| $269 | eBay | Graded | 31d ago |
| $302 | eBay | Graded | 53d ago |
| $280 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 57d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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