PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art) · Neo Genesis · Alt Art · 62/111

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebullish9130d 25.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$855
Lowest listing $8540.1% below
Bear Case
$721
Base Case
$855
Bull Case
$991

Price History

Dec 2Range $601 – $916May 30

Opportunity Score

33
  • Price up 26% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.7%). Estimated fair value is $855 against a lowest active listing of $854. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+25.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-8.1%
Confidence
90/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps821.4550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices945.1225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection887.525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.6220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$761eBayNear Mint696d agoJan 1View
$764MercariNear Mint946d agoJan 1View
$790eBayNear Mint8918d agoJan 1View
$798PWCCNear Mint672d agoJan 1View
$806MercariNear Mint9021d agoMay 31View
$815PWCCNear Mint8520d agoJan 1View
$870MercariNear Mint752d agoJan 1View
$901MercariNear Mint999d agoJun 4View
$934MercariNear Mint9617d agoJan 1View
$936eBayNear Mint8513d agoJan 1View
$939TCGPlayerNear Mint787d agoJan 1View
$945TCGPlayerNear Mint932d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$812MercariNear Mint1d ago
$858eBayNear Mint1d ago
$769TCGPlayerNear Mint2d ago
$793TCGPlayerNear Mint2d ago
$800PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$827Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7d ago
$772eBayNear Mint9d ago
$830TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$725eBayNear Mint12d ago
$723TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$618Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint17d ago
$617PWCCNear Mint18d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$1,292$1,11813.4%33.1%450
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
$1,536$1,543-0.5%17.9%342
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$982$83115.4%17.0%1742
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$535$47810.6%11.5%1735
Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$496$4587.6%19.8%2344
Gardevoir PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$293$26210.4%10.2%540