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Carnivine — Crown Zenith — Uncommon

Carnivine

Simulated

Carnivine · Crown Zenith · Uncommon · 12

Character: Carnivine

high confidencebullish8130d 10.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$64.16
Lowest listing $66.05
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$54.86
Base Case
$64.16
Bull Case
$73.42

Price History

Dec 8Range $49.82 – $69.42Jun 5

Opportunity Score

27
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Price up 11% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish81

Carnivine is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+10.6%). Estimated fair value is $64 against a lowest active listing of $66. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+10.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.5%
Confidence
93/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-27.4%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$66.05
All-in cost
$95.05+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$264
Expected proceeds
$68.9630% gem → $79.26 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.09
Breakeven graded value
$364value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
0.7dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
72.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-6.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
10active listings
Recent sold avg
$61.31mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$57.40cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$53.41
Median
$61.52
Mean
$61.48
Max
$67.85

Showing 33 of 33 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps63.3550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices70.125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection60.6325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.3120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$57.40MercariNear Mint7365d agoJan 1View
$63.56PWCCNear Mint6865d agoJun 6View
$64.49TCGPlayerNear Mint7274d agoJun 10View
$65.34PWCCNear Mint6357d agoJan 1View
$66.56eBayNear Mint9074d agoJan 1View
$69.32Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7255d agoJan 1View
$70.98Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9269d agoJan 1View
$72.06TCGPlayerNear Mint7668d agoJan 1View
$72.84MercariNear Mint8768d agoJan 1View
$74.90TCGPlayerNear Mint6472d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$62.19PWCCNear Mint58d ago
$66.34Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint58d ago
$61.26TCGPlayerNear Mint60d ago
$64.21Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint61d ago
$64.64eBayNear Mint62d ago
$65.54eBayNear Mint63d ago
$64.05PWCCNear Mint63d ago
$62.37MercariNear Mint64d ago
$61.52PWCCNear Mint64d ago
$60.94PWCCNear Mint64d ago
$61.27Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint65d ago
$58.64eBayNear Mint66d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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