Greninja Secret Rare
SimulatedGreninja Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 38/163
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- 7% below fair value+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+4 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral56Greninja Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.3%). Estimated fair value is $238 against a lowest active listing of $221. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 231.21 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 239.56 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 220.3 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.16 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $217 | PWCC | Near Mint | 85 | 2d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $220 | eBay | Near Mint | 95 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $220 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $224 | Mercari | Near Mint | 77 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $224 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 80 | 19d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $231 | Mercari | Near Mint | 86 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $235 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 64 | 2d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $236 | eBay | Near Mint | 80 | 15d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $238 | Mercari | Near Mint | 90 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $239 | eBay | Near Mint | 79 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $246 | eBay | Near Mint | 75 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $248 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $217 | PWCC | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $205 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $216 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $196 | Mercari | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $203 | Mercari | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $183 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $171 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $171 | eBay | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $167 | eBay | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $171 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $163 | Mercari | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $210 | eBay | Near Mint | 38d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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