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Greninja Secret Rare

Simulated

Greninja Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 38/163

Character: Greninja

medium confidenceneutral5630d 1.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$238
Lowest listing $2217.0% below
Bear Case
$200
Base Case
$238
Bull Case
$275

Price History

Dec 2Range $151$319May 30

Opportunity Score

36
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral56

Greninja Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.3%). Estimated fair value is $238 against a lowest active listing of $221. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+15.8%
Confidence
56/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps231.2150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices239.5625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection220.325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.1620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$217PWCCNear Mint852d agoJun 2View
$220eBayNear Mint9520d agoJan 1View
$220TCGPlayerNear Mint791d agoJan 1View
$224MercariNear Mint7717d agoJan 1View
$224Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8019d agoJun 3View
$231MercariNear Mint866d agoJan 1View
$235Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint642d agoJun 1View
$236eBayNear Mint8015d agoJun 2View
$238MercariNear Mint9018d agoJan 1View
$239eBayNear Mint7918d agoJan 1View
$246eBayNear Mint7510d agoJan 1View
$248Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint721d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$217PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$205Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint11d ago
$216MercariNear Mint16d ago
$196MercariNear Mint21d ago
$203MercariNear Mint22d ago
$183Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint23d ago
$171TCGPlayerNear Mint25d ago
$171eBayNear Mint28d ago
$167eBayNear Mint28d ago
$171Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint33d ago
$163MercariNear Mint34d ago
$210eBayNear Mint38d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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