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Snorlax Secret Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Snorlax Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 162/237

Character: Snorlax

high confidencebullish7430d 8.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$724
Lowest listing $64211.3% below
Bear Case
$626
Base Case
$724
Bull Case
$824

Price History

Dec 2Range $547$1.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

47
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish74

Snorlax Secret Rare (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.1%). Estimated fair value is $724 against a lowest active listing of $642. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+8.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.9%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
17.5
Velocity Score
88/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+14.8%
Total Graded
5,515
Gem Mint
2,691
Population Growth
+5.9%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps715.1550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices737.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection730.5625%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.9450%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.9620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$927MercariGraded865d agoJun 3View
$981TCGPlayerGraded853d agoJan 1View
$1,102PWCCGraded6510d agoJan 1View
$1,116Facebook MarketplaceGraded8916d agoJan 1View
$1,192Facebook MarketplaceGraded7113d agoJan 1View
$1,194TCGPlayerGraded741d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,033eBayGraded6d ago
$1,111eBayGraded7d ago
$951TCGPlayerGraded14d ago
$893PWCCGraded15d ago
$892Facebook MarketplaceGraded18d ago
$858PWCCGraded23d ago
$836Facebook MarketplaceGraded24d ago
$744PWCCGraded25d ago
$904TCGPlayerGraded37d ago
$925MercariGraded39d ago
$881TCGPlayerGraded42d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
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