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Blastoise Holo Rare

Simulated

Blastoise Holo Rare · Jungle · Holo Rare · 2/64

Character: Blastoise

high confidencebullish9630d 16.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$459
Lowest listing $4394.4% below
Bear Case
$393
Base Case
$459
Bull Case
$528

Price History

Dec 2Range $267$538May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • 4% below fair value+5 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish96

Blastoise Holo Rare is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.1%). Estimated fair value is $459 against a lowest active listing of $439. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+16.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+13.5%
Confidence
83/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps419.6650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices497.125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection452.4725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.7120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$427MercariNear Mint8219d agoJun 2View
$431TCGPlayerNear Mint703d agoJun 1View
$431MercariNear Mint6713d agoJun 4View
$434eBayNear Mint9921d agoJan 1View
$464eBayNear Mint8418d agoJan 1View
$554Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint728d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$523Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint3d ago
$365Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint41d ago
$359Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint45d ago
$342PWCCNear Mint49d ago
$306TCGPlayerNear Mint50d ago
$334MercariNear Mint55d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon Holo RareJungleSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$936$82711.6%0.8%243
Umbreon Secret RareJungleBGS 10Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$4,440$4,1037.6%12.1%1134
Rayquaza V (Full Art)JungleSimulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Price up 17% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$814$7912.8%17.3%243
Lugia Ultra RareJungleSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
$850$7907.0%22.8%341
Mew Ultra RareJungleSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$798$66017.3%4.5%1753
Mew V (Full Art)JungleBGS 9Simulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$785$7465.0%13.1%232