Nosepass
SimulatedNosepass · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 18
Character: Nosepass
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral59Nosepass is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.4%). Estimated fair value is $61 against a lowest active listing of $54. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus modeled comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $53.81
- All-in cost
- $82.81+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $215
- Expected proceeds
- $56.1830% gem → $64.57 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$26.63
- Breakeven graded value
- $317value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.4dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 59.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -8.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 13active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $107mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $97.97cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $85.22
- Median
- $103
- Mean
- $103
- Max
- $121
Showing 27 of 27 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 58.2 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 61.3 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 58.29 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.99 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $97.97 | Mercari | Near Mint | 97 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $104 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 81 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $106 | PWCC | Near Mint | 69 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $107 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $107 | eBay | Near Mint | 93 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $111 | PWCC | Near Mint | 85 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $112 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $117 | eBay | Near Mint | 98 | 72d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $126 | eBay | Near Mint | 68 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $126 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $127 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | eBay | Near Mint | 73 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $98.74 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 56d ago |
| $106 | eBay | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $116 | Mercari | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $109 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 64d ago |
| $118 | Mercari | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $121 | eBay | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $121 | Mercari | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $98.61 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $92.68 | PWCC | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $95.77 | PWCC | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $101 | PWCC | Near Mint | 74d ago |
| $103 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 76d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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