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Umbreon Promo

Simulated

Umbreon Promo · HeartGold SoulSilver · Promo · 109/123

Character: Umbreon

high confidencebullish6330d 3.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$388
Lowest listing $3519.5% below
Bear Case
$335
Base Case
$388
Bull Case
$442

Price History

Dec 2Range $222$435May 30

Opportunity Score

34
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish63

Umbreon Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.1%). Estimated fair value is $388 against a lowest active listing of $351. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+2.6%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps379.950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices393.225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection390.2625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.5220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$376TCGPlayerNear Mint9020d agoJun 2View
$387TCGPlayerNear Mint6717d agoJan 1View
$396MercariNear Mint6512d agoJan 1View
$402MercariNear Mint7519d agoMay 31View
$449TCGPlayerNear Mint6215d agoJun 2View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$419Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint4h ago
$431Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9d ago
$420MercariNear Mint10d ago
$425PWCCNear Mint10d ago
$380Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint10d ago
$406eBayNear Mint11d ago
$362TCGPlayerNear Mint16d ago
$363Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16d ago
$371MercariNear Mint19d ago
$370PWCCNear Mint21d ago
$411PWCCNear Mint21d ago
$409MercariNear Mint22d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$283$2559.8%11.6%1937
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$1,573$1,4517.7%2.4%1544
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+25 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$279$22021.1%23.8%1148
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
$546$5411.0%12.6%1034
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$339$3069.6%14.7%538
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$250$2317.6%15.2%343