Umbreon Promo
SimulatedUmbreon Promo · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Promo · 171/207
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish78Umbreon Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.6%). Estimated fair value is $288 against a lowest active listing of $252. Valuation confidence is medium based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+11.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 261.06 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 299.23 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 300.93 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.52 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $226 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 82 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $227 | Mercari | Near Mint | 89 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $229 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 95 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $231 | PWCC | Near Mint | 98 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $234 | PWCC | Near Mint | 97 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $238 | Mercari | Near Mint | 66 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $241 | eBay | Near Mint | 74 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $244 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 71 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $245 | Mercari | Near Mint | 88 | 12d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $245 | eBay | Near Mint | 91 | 5d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $261 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $269 | eBay | Near Mint | 100 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $240 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5h ago |
| $255 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $264 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $272 | eBay | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $246 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $242 | eBay | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $245 | eBay | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $261 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $252 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $278 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $261 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $301 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
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Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $277 | $220 | 20.5% | 23.8% | 20 | 42 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $557 | $497 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15 | 52 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $409 | $354 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 8 | 47 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $348 | $263 | 24.4% | 14.7% | 20 | 61 |