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Umbreon Promo

Simulated

Umbreon Promo · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Promo · 171/207

Character: Umbreon

medium confidencebullish7830d 11.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$288
Lowest listing $25212.2% below
Bear Case
$247
Base Case
$288
Bull Case
$329

Price History

Dec 2Range $236$308May 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish78

Umbreon Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.6%). Estimated fair value is $288 against a lowest active listing of $252. Valuation confidence is medium based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+11.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.6%
Confidence
61/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps261.0650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices299.2325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection300.9325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.5220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$226TCGPlayerNear Mint8221d agoJan 1View
$227MercariNear Mint898d agoJan 1View
$229TCGPlayerNear Mint9513d agoJan 1View
$231PWCCNear Mint982d agoJan 1View
$234PWCCNear Mint9713d agoJan 1View
$238MercariNear Mint669d agoJan 1View
$241eBayNear Mint7417d agoJan 1View
$244TCGPlayerNear Mint7117d agoJan 1View
$245MercariNear Mint8812d agoJun 4View
$245eBayNear Mint915d agoJun 4View
$261MercariNear Mint8214d agoJan 1View
$269eBayNear Mint1009d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$240TCGPlayerNear Mint5h ago
$255Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint2d ago
$264MercariNear Mint3d ago
$272eBayNear Mint3d ago
$246Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint4d ago
$242eBayNear Mint6d ago
$245eBayNear Mint6d ago
$261eBayNear Mint7d ago
$252Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7d ago
$278Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8d ago
$261TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$301eBayNear Mint19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
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  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,569$1,35713.6%2.4%2351
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+24 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$277$22020.5%23.8%2042
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$557$49710.7%12.6%1552
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$409$35413.3%3.1%847
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 24% below fair value+29 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$348$26324.4%14.7%2061