PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Mew VMAX (Alt Art) card artwork

Mew VMAX (Alt Art)

CGC 10Simulated

Mew VMAX (Alt Art) · Fossil · Alt Art · 22/62

Character: Mew

high confidencebullish7430d ▲9.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$3,431
Lowest listing $3,450
Bear Case
$3,015
Base Case
$3,431
Bull Case
$3,847

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.8K – $4.0KMay 30

Opportunity Score

28
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Population growth slowing+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish74

Mew VMAX (Alt Art) (CGC 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.4%). Estimated fair value is $3431 against a lowest active listing of $3450. Valuation confidence is high based on 11-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+9.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
11
Sales / Month
11.0
Velocity Score
55/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-9.9%
Total Graded
4,707
Gem Mint
1,503
Population Growth
+4.3%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps3479.0150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices3904.9925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection3446.6525%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.1650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.9820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$3,682MercariGraded1007d agoJan 1View
$4,023Facebook MarketplaceGraded9421h agoJun 2View
$4,186eBayGraded804d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$4,121Facebook MarketplaceGraded1d ago
$4,171eBayGraded2d ago
$3,728PWCCGraded3d ago
$3,805MercariGraded9d ago
$3,846Facebook MarketplaceGraded9d ago
$3,778Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$3,788TCGPlayerGraded11d ago
$3,579eBayGraded13d ago
$3,183Facebook MarketplaceGraded13d ago
$3,240TCGPlayerGraded14d ago
$3,296MercariGraded19d ago
$3,399PWCCGraded19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Ultra RareFossilSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$1,840$1,6699.3%▼11.8%1631
Charizard V (Full Art)FossilSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$1,399$1,16416.8%▼1.6%753
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)FossilSimulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • 5% below fair value+6 pts
$1,574$1,4945.1%▲10.6%1033
Rayquaza Ultra RareFossilSimulated
  • Price up 28% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$1,189$1,1275.3%▲28.0%847
Pikachu PromoFossilSimulated
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • 5% below fair value+6 pts
$847$8035.1%▼3.1%634
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$1,104$1,0663.5%▲6.8%444