PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Gengar VMAX (Alt Art)

BGS 9Simulated

Gengar VMAX (Alt Art) · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Alt Art · 72/109

Character: Gengar

medium confidencebullish6830d 7.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$666
Lowest listing $6472.8% below
Bear Case
$562
Base Case
$666
Bull Case
$768

Price History

Dec 2Range $543$859May 30

Opportunity Score

31
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Population growth slowing+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • 3% below fair value+3 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish68

Gengar VMAX (Alt Art) (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.9%). Estimated fair value is $666 against a lowest active listing of $647. Valuation confidence is medium based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.5%
Total Graded
5,891
Gem Mint
1,679
Population Growth
+1.3%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps674.6950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices717.9425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection675.8125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-0.6650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$552Facebook MarketplaceGraded9918d agoJan 1View
$552eBayGraded867d agoJan 1View
$587eBayGraded9614d agoJan 1View
$591Facebook MarketplaceGraded7811d agoJan 1View
$605Facebook MarketplaceGraded9113d agoJan 1View
$610Facebook MarketplaceGraded8721d agoJan 1View
$614PWCCGraded8913d agoMay 31View
$615eBayGraded837d agoJan 1View
$620MercariGraded6316d agoJan 1View
$632eBayGraded6114d agoJan 1View
$636TCGPlayerGraded974d agoJan 1View
$646PWCCGraded8011d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$593TCGPlayerGraded2d ago
$657MercariGraded4d ago
$712MercariGraded7d ago
$693eBayGraded8d ago
$691TCGPlayerGraded16d ago
$675MercariGraded23d ago
$664TCGPlayerGraded28d ago
$685Facebook MarketplaceGraded36d ago
$659TCGPlayerGraded42d ago
$723PWCCGraded47d ago
$765TCGPlayerGraded54d ago
$783MercariGraded56d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Holo RareEX Ruby & SapphireBGS 9Simulated
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$437$4272.2%2.0%334
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 20% below fair value+23 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$455$36519.9%7.6%1254
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$421$35914.6%4.9%2347
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+19 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$435$36316.6%6.7%849
Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$305$26812.3%9.3%742
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Price up 28% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$374$3594.0%27.6%2346