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Rotom V — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo V

Rotom V

PSA 10Simulated

Rotom V · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo V · 45

Character: Rotom

high confidencebullish6230d 2.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$189
Lowest listing $1729.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$160
Base Case
$189
Bull Case
$220

Price History

Dec 8Range $124 – $220Jun 5

Opportunity Score

47
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish62

Rotom V (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+2.5%). Estimated fair value is $189 against a lowest active listing of $172. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.4%
Total Graded
7,377
Gem Mint
2,083
Population Growth
0.0%
Stable supply

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-75.4%
Grading not economical
slowing population

Population growth slowing to -0.6%/mo — supply tightening across 1476 graded.

1,476 graded · 36% gem · -0.6%/mo

Raw cost
$172
All-in cost
$201+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$189
Expected proceeds
$49.3830% gem → $56.76 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$151.30
Breakeven graded value
$769value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.5dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
89.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-23.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
2active listings
Recent sold avg
$156mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$120cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$116
Median
$163
Mean
$167
Max
$208

Showing 24 of 24 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps183.9150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices198.4725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection195.6825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)050%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.6720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$120MercariGraded8571d agoJan 1View
$139eBayGraded9869d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$116eBayGraded56d ago
$145MercariGraded58d ago
$136eBayGraded58d ago
$154PWCCGraded60d ago
$152PWCCGraded61d ago
$151MercariGraded61d ago
$182MercariGraded71d ago
$157PWCCGraded71d ago
$153TCGPlayerGraded74d ago
$160eBayGraded76d ago
$143MercariGraded78d ago
$165Facebook MarketplaceGraded80d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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