Gengar Holo Rare
SimulatedGengar Holo Rare · Hidden Fates · Holo Rare · 36/163
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
52- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Price up 24% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish99Gengar Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+23.5%). Estimated fair value is $176 against a lowest active listing of $154. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+23.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 167.56 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 179.25 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 176.37 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.04 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $162 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $152 | PWCC | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $187 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $182 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $180 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $190 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $172 | PWCC | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $178 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $191 | Mercari | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $194 | Mercari | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $179 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $181 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 38d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $836 | $723 | 13.4% | 5.0% | 17 | 44 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
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Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $199 | $175 | 12.3% | 2.5% | 19 | 39 |
Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
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Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $431 | $374 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 13 | 43 |
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $355 | $356 | -0.3% | 30.1% | 14 | 30 |