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Gengar Holo Rare

Simulated

Gengar Holo Rare · Hidden Fates · Holo Rare · 36/163

Character: Gengar

high confidencebullish9930d 23.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$176
Lowest listing $15412.8% below
Bear Case
$145
Base Case
$176
Bull Case
$209

Price History

Dec 2Range $140$226May 30

Opportunity Score

52
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Price up 24% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish99

Gengar Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+23.5%). Estimated fair value is $176 against a lowest active listing of $154. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+23.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.2%
Confidence
95/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps167.5650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices179.2525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection176.3725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.0420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$164PWCCNear Mint7710d agoJan 1View
$170PWCCNear Mint6911d agoJan 1View
$178PWCCNear Mint991d agoJan 1View
$195PWCCNear Mint8716d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$162Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6d ago
$152PWCCNear Mint11d ago
$187MercariNear Mint16d ago
$182Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$180Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint22d ago
$190TCGPlayerNear Mint23d ago
$172PWCCNear Mint27d ago
$178TCGPlayerNear Mint30d ago
$191MercariNear Mint31d ago
$194MercariNear Mint33d ago
$179Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint34d ago
$181TCGPlayerNear Mint38d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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