Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration)
CGC 10SimulatedGardevoir ex (Special Illustration) · Evolving Skies · Special Illustration Rare · 158/237
Character: Gardevoir
Price History
Opportunity Score
54- 18% below fair value+21 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral47Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration) (CGC 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.0%). Estimated fair value is $619 against a lowest active listing of $510. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 606.56 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 606.81 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 613.03 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.48 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.37 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $508 | PWCC | Graded | 7h ago |
| $497 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 1d ago |
| $495 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 5d ago |
| $483 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 7d ago |
| $481 | eBay | Graded | 14d ago |
| $467 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $511 | Mercari | Graded | 17d ago |
| $480 | PWCC | Graded | 23d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
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MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,575 | $1,482 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 12 | 30 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $311 | $271 | 12.8% | 0.8% | 21 | 48 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $700 | $611 | 12.8% | 11.8% | 19 | 46 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $721 | $639 | 11.4% | 8.2% | 19 | 52 |