Gyarados Secret Rare
SimulatedGyarados Secret Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Secret Rare · 78/180
Character: Gyarados
Price History
Opportunity Score
43- 10% below fair value+11 pts
- Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Gyarados Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.4%). Estimated fair value is $356 against a lowest active listing of $321. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+25.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 356.08 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 365 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 372.8 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.88 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 | Mercari | Near Mint | 90 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $218 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 94 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $220 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 99 | 14d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $225 | Mercari | Near Mint | 72 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $226 | Mercari | Near Mint | 92 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $226 | eBay | Near Mint | 83 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $230 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $231 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $233 | eBay | Near Mint | 70 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $242 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 73 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $243 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 85 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $260 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 61 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $239 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22h ago |
| $247 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $246 | PWCC | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $280 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $225 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $372 | PWCC | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $397 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 39d ago |
| $387 | Mercari | Near Mint | 40d ago |
| $377 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 43d ago |
| $372 | eBay | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $312 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $279 | Mercari | Near Mint | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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