Sandshrew
SimulatedSandshrew · XY Evolutions · Common · 54
Character: Sandshrew
Price History
Opportunity Score
31- Price up 16% over 30 days+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- 2% below fair value+2 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Sandshrew is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.2%). Estimated fair value is $29 against a lowest active listing of $29. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+16.2% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $28.82
- All-in cost
- $57.82+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $115
- Expected proceeds
- $30.0930% gem → $34.58 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.73
- Breakeven graded value
- $222value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.3dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 51.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -16.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 21active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $93.87mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $78.35cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $84.01
- Median
- $98.40
- Mean
- $99.14
- Max
- $125
Showing 31 of 31 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 26.43 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 33.11 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 29.06 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.89 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $78.35 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 67 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $78.60 | Mercari | Near Mint | 88 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $78.98 | eBay | Near Mint | 68 | 55d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $80.86 | eBay | Near Mint | 82 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $83.39 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $83.82 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.54 | Mercari | Near Mint | 88 | 58d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $85.68 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 71 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $88.04 | PWCC | Near Mint | 83 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $88.30 | eBay | Near Mint | 93 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.09 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 71 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.53 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 66 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $96.24 | eBay | Near Mint | 56d ago |
| $84.01 | eBay | Near Mint | 56d ago |
| $91.54 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $99.82 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $89.44 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $84.66 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $87.88 | PWCC | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $86.05 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $85.61 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 71d ago |
| $86.34 | Mercari | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $102 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $99.81 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 78d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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