Dragonite Ultra Rare
SimulatedDragonite Ultra Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 113/180
Character: Dragonite
Price History
Opportunity Score
47- 17% below fair value+20 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral46Dragonite Ultra Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.1%). Estimated fair value is $169 against a lowest active listing of $141. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-8.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 174.05 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 159.65 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 164.43 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.78 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $146 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79 | 15d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $150 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75 | 4d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $156 | eBay | Near Mint | 78 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $161 | PWCC | Near Mint | 70 | 7d ago | May 31 | View |
| $166 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $169 | eBay | Near Mint | 83 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $180 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 61 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $183 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 84 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $167 | Mercari | Near Mint | 8h ago |
| $142 | eBay | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $149 | PWCC | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $167 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $169 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $159 | eBay | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $157 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $162 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $168 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $184 | PWCC | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $214 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $185 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 36d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mewtwo ex (Illustration Rare)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
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Sylveon V (Full Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
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