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Mewtwo Secret Rare

Simulated

Mewtwo Secret Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Secret Rare · 159/180

Character: Mewtwo

medium confidencebearish1830d 27.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$317
Lowest listing $24422.9% below
Bear Case
$273
Base Case
$317
Bull Case
$356

Price History

Dec 2Range $241 – $397May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 23% below fair value+27 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish18

Mewtwo Secret Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-27.5%). Estimated fair value is $317 against a lowest active listing of $244. Valuation confidence is medium based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-27.5% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
4.0
Velocity Score
20/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+5.7%
Confidence
64/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps350.7950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices291.2825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection260.2825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.1420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$280PWCCNear Mint7012d agoJan 1View
$283eBayNear Mint6120d agoJan 1View
$288eBayNear Mint9917d agoJun 4View
$302eBayNear Mint7615d agoJan 1View
$318TCGPlayerNear Mint6914d agoJan 1View
$347TCGPlayerNear Mint815d agoJun 4View
$349TCGPlayerNear Mint8916d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$301PWCCNear Mintjust now
$313Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint1d ago
$290eBayNear Mint2d ago
$335MercariNear Mint5d ago
$342PWCCNear Mint9d ago
$357eBayNear Mint10d ago
$331Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint12d ago
$352eBayNear Mint12d ago
$386MercariNear Mint15d ago
$362Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint15d ago
$340eBayNear Mint19d ago
$321MercariNear Mint19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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