Sandslash
SimulatedSandslash · HeartGold SoulSilver · Rare · 29
Character: Sandslash
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- 16% below fair value+19 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish31Sandslash is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-10.5%). Estimated fair value is $20 against a lowest active listing of $17. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-10.5% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $16.72
- All-in cost
- $45.72+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $66.88
- Expected proceeds
- $17.4630% gem → $20.06 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$28.26
- Breakeven graded value
- $175value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.0dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 61.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -20.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 16active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $94.41mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $74.96cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $73.90
- Median
- $98.52
- Mean
- $96.32
- Max
- $115
Showing 33 of 33 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 20.14 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 19.04 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 18.24 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.07 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74.96 | PWCC | Near Mint | 87 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $75.37 | eBay | Near Mint | 94 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $76.52 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 74 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $76.98 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 65 | 70d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $83.98 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.17 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.56 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 96 | 72d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $88.03 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 84 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $88.14 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 74 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $90.24 | PWCC | Near Mint | 99 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $90.66 | Mercari | Near Mint | 72 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.52 | PWCC | Near Mint | 100 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $85.53 | PWCC | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $73.93 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 56d ago |
| $76.34 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $77.07 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $73.90 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $78.16 | PWCC | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $89.61 | PWCC | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $88.65 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $94.97 | PWCC | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $88.94 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $90.77 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $99.78 | eBay | Near Mint | 63d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 AzumarillHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
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 ChanseyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 10Simulated
| $291 | $252 | 13.4% | 7.3% | 7 | 59 |
 FlaaffyHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $176 | $158 | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10 | 35 |
 ClefairyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 9Simulated
| $125 | $112 | 10.6% | 11.3% | 19 | 42 |