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Weezing — HeartGold SoulSilver — Rare

Weezing

Simulated

Weezing · HeartGold SoulSilver · Rare · 34

Character: Weezing

high confidenceneutral5330d 4.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$46.43
Lowest listing $45.801.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$40.44
Base Case
$46.43
Bull Case
$52.47

Price History

Dec 8Range $61.52 – $91.05Jun 5

Opportunity Score

42
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • 1% below fair value+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral53

Weezing is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-4.8%). Estimated fair value is $46 against a lowest active listing of $46. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
2
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+19.9%
Confidence
82/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-36.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$45.80
All-in cost
$74.80+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$183
Expected proceeds
$47.8230% gem → $54.96 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.98
Breakeven graded value
$287value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
44.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-14.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
23active listings
Recent sold avg
$69.57mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$59.64cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$62.45
Median
$69.30
Mean
$69.54
Max
$77.07

Showing 22 of 25 sales · 3 outliers trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps43.6450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices46.5425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection44.825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.9720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$59.64Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8355d agoJan 1View
$61.66PWCCNear Mint8360d agoJun 7View
$61.68Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8462d agoJun 9View
$62.54eBayNear Mint7468d agoJan 1View
$63.18TCGPlayerNear Mint8457d agoJan 1View
$65.03Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8864d agoJan 1View
$69.17TCGPlayerNear Mint9875d agoJan 1View
$69.51MercariNear Mint9458d agoJan 1View
$69.66PWCCNear Mint8567d agoJan 1View
$71.07TCGPlayerNear Mint7069d agoJan 1View
$71.59TCGPlayerNear Mint10061d agoJan 1View
$72.60TCGPlayerNear Mint6166d agoJun 6View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$72.51eBayNear Mint59d ago
$69.27Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint62d ago
$72.20eBayNear Mint62d ago
$72.52TCGPlayerNear Mint63d ago
$70.51MercariNear Mint66d ago
$65.11eBayNear Mint67d ago
$63.91MercariNear Mint67d ago
$65.37TCGPlayerNear Mint69d ago
$65.85Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint71d ago
$69.33Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint71d ago
$72.14TCGPlayerNear Mint77d ago
$76.38TCGPlayerNear Mint77d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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