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Dec 2Range $334 – $464May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$384
Lowest listing $34111.2% below
Bear Case
$334
Base Case
$384
Bull Case
$435
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral58Snorlax Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.3%). Estimated fair value is $384 against a lowest active listing of $341. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
13
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+23.7%
Confidence
98/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 359.87 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 397.15 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 351.15 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.73 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $352 | eBay | Near Mint | 79 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $361 | PWCC | Near Mint | 98 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $378 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75 | 16d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $378 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67 | 12d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $384 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 76 | 17d ago | May 31 | View |
| $385 | eBay | Near Mint | 87 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $397 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 96 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $399 | eBay | Near Mint | 99 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $410 | PWCC | Near Mint | 88 | 22h ago | May 31 | View |
| $413 | eBay | Near Mint | 91 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $418 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 91 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $418 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $409 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $350 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $344 | PWCC | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $356 | eBay | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $354 | PWCC | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $351 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $340 | eBay | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $336 | PWCC | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $344 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $348 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $349 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $354 | PWCC | Near Mint | 17d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,855 | $7,433 | 5.4% | 13.9% | 23 | 43 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $897 | $773 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 21 | 43 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $38,442 | $39,299 | -2.2% | 21.0% | 5 | 30 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,646 | $2,192 | 17.2% | 20.6% | 3 | 54 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $914 | $801 | 12.4% | 3.3% | 17 | 38 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,798 | $1,943 | -8.1% | 16.1% | 7 | 33 |