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Charizard Holo Rare

BGS 9Simulated

Charizard Holo Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Holo Rare · 97/109

Character: Charizard

high confidencebullish7730d 7.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$467
Lowest listing $41411.2% below
Bear Case
$403
Base Case
$467
Bull Case
$532

Price History

Dec 2Range $389$542May 30

Opportunity Score

49
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Population growth slowing+4 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish77

Charizard Holo Rare (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.9%). Estimated fair value is $467 against a lowest active listing of $414. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
14
Sales / Month
16.5
Velocity Score
83/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+8.3%
Total Graded
2,930
Gem Mint
1,247
Population Growth
+2.6%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps461.2150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices476.225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection462.4425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.3150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.6720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$445eBayGraded6215d agoJan 1View
$446TCGPlayerGraded6718d agoJun 1View
$450eBayGraded7212d agoJan 1View
$469eBayGraded898d agoJan 1View
$471eBayGraded9420d agoJan 1View
$481eBayGraded8920d agoJan 1View
$508PWCCGraded8613d agoJan 1View
$512PWCCGraded804d agoJan 1View
$513MercariGraded6015d agoJan 1View
$514eBayGraded7914d agoJan 1View
$515eBayGraded945d agoJan 1View
$518Facebook MarketplaceGraded886d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$450MercariGraded8d ago
$511TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$529eBayGraded36d ago
$517Facebook MarketplaceGraded37d ago
$491eBayGraded40d ago
$464PWCCGraded46d ago
$464TCGPlayerGraded48d ago
$423MercariGraded50d ago
$453eBayGraded51d ago
$445MercariGraded52d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$894$914-2.2%11.8%344
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Price up 37% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$9,470$9,1613.3%37.3%2141
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$242$2238.0%12.5%2037
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
$600$5459.2%15.9%2142
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
$490$41315.8%10.6%1248
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$703$6556.9%3.0%1139