Charizard Holo Rare
BGS 9SimulatedCharizard Holo Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Holo Rare · 97/109
Character: Charizard
Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish77Charizard Holo Rare (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.9%). Estimated fair value is $467 against a lowest active listing of $414. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 461.21 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 476.2 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 462.44 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.31 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.67 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $445 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $446 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 67 | 18d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $450 | eBay | Graded | 72 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $469 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $471 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $481 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $508 | PWCC | Graded | 86 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $512 | PWCC | Graded | 80 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $513 | Mercari | Graded | 60 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $514 | eBay | Graded | 79 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $515 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $518 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 88 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $450 | Mercari | Graded | 8d ago |
| $511 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $529 | eBay | Graded | 36d ago |
| $517 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 37d ago |
| $491 | eBay | Graded | 40d ago |
| $464 | PWCC | Graded | 46d ago |
| $464 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 48d ago |
| $423 | Mercari | Graded | 50d ago |
| $453 | eBay | Graded | 51d ago |
| $445 | Mercari | Graded | 52d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $894 | $914 | -2.2% | 11.8% | 3 | 44 |
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,470 | $9,161 | 3.3% | 37.3% | 21 | 41 |
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $242 | $223 | 8.0% | 12.5% | 20 | 37 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $600 | $545 | 9.2% | 15.9% | 21 | 42 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $490 | $413 | 15.8% | 10.6% | 12 | 48 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $703 | $655 | 6.9% | 3.0% | 11 | 39 |