Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedMewtwo ex (Special Illustration) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Special Illustration Rare · 27/207
Character: Mewtwo
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 11% below fair value+12 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish83Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.1%). Estimated fair value is $417 against a lowest active listing of $373. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+9.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 432.24 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 408.45 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 432.88 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -2.29 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $401 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $372 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $364 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $392 | Mercari | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $386 | PWCC | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $421 | Mercari | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $389 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $366 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $409 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $377 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $448 | Mercari | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $507 | Mercari | Near Mint | 35d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $725 | $741 | -2.3% | 30.6% | 8 | 34 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $312 | $288 | 7.5% | 13.9% | 4 | 43 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $476 | $419 | 11.9% | 14.5% | 5 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $277 | $254 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 6 | 44 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $620 | $519 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 15 | 43 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $302 | $254 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 16 | 43 |