
Ninetales · XY Evolutions · Rare Holo · 15
Character: Ninetales
Ninetales (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.5%). Estimated fair value is $59 against a lowest active listing of $58. Valuation confidence is medium based on 14-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growth slowing to 1.1%/mo — supply tightening across 4072 graded.
4,072 graded · 24% gem · +1.1%/mo
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Showing 6 of 6 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 58.58 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 66.58 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 61.52 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.95 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.47 | 20% |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $88.26 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 86 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $89.35 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 79 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $91.09 | PWCC | Graded | 77 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.01 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 88 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.85 | Mercari | Graded | 88 | 64d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $95.94 | Mercari | Graded | 69 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $102 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 80 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $102 | Mercari | Graded | 77 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $102 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 65 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $104 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $105 | Mercari | Graded | 99 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $105 | PWCC | Graded | 85 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $103 | Mercari | Graded | 57d ago |
| $112 | PWCC | Graded | 66d ago |
| $99.86 | PWCC | Graded | 75d ago |
| $106 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 83d ago |
| $121 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 91d ago |
| $112 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 112d ago |
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| $70,549 | $63,509 | 10.0% | 0.1% | 5 | 47 |
![]() Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,661 | $2,423 | 8.9% | 0.3% | 5 | 45 |
![]() MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,283 | $2,002 | 12.3% | 11.3% | 4 | 52 |
![]() Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $2,739 | $2,248 | 17.9% | 28.0% | 14 | 45 |
![]() Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $991 | $822 | 17.1% | 30.4% | 11 | 43 |
![]() Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $347 | $316 | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17 | 37 |