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Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Umbreon ex (Special Illustration) · Prismatic Evolutions · Special Illustration Rare · 167/180

Character: Umbreon

high confidenceneutral5830d 1.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$552
Lowest listing $44319.9% below
Bear Case
$477
Base Case
$552
Bull Case
$628

Price History

Dec 2Range $342$581May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • 20% below fair value+23 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral58

Umbreon ex (Special Illustration) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.3%). Estimated fair value is $552 against a lowest active listing of $443. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+5.8%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps557.3850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices507.8625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection561.4925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.1720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$487MercariNear Mint6113d agoJun 1View
$491eBayNear Mint6419d agoJan 1View
$522PWCCNear Mint9721d agoJan 1View
$554Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint858d agoJan 1View
$568eBayNear Mint8315d agoJan 1View
$591TCGPlayerNear Mint8910d agoJan 1View
$598TCGPlayerNear Mint9121d agoJan 1View
$609Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8417d agoJan 1View
$616MercariNear Mint9020d agoJan 1View
$619PWCCNear Mint7310d agoJun 2View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$576eBayNear Mint5d ago
$569TCGPlayerNear Mint7d ago
$560MercariNear Mint7d ago
$546MercariNear Mint9d ago
$564PWCCNear Mint11d ago
$585MercariNear Mint12d ago
$568eBayNear Mint14d ago
$507MercariNear Mint17d ago
$518PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$487eBayNear Mint22d ago
$497Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint23d ago
$458PWCCNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$303$25415.9%11.6%857
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,541$1,36911.2%2.4%2045
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$271$2681.4%23.8%237
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$528$4966.0%12.6%2133
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$390$35110.0%3.1%1638
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 20% below fair value+23 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$337$27119.7%14.7%1547