Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedUmbreon ex (Special Illustration) · Prismatic Evolutions · Special Illustration Rare · 167/180
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- 20% below fair value+23 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral58Umbreon ex (Special Illustration) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.3%). Estimated fair value is $552 against a lowest active listing of $443. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 557.38 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 507.86 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 561.49 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.17 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $487 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61 | 13d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $491 | eBay | Near Mint | 64 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $522 | PWCC | Near Mint | 97 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $554 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 85 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $568 | eBay | Near Mint | 83 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $591 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 89 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $598 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 91 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $609 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 84 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $616 | Mercari | Near Mint | 90 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $619 | PWCC | Near Mint | 73 | 10d ago | Jun 2 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $576 | eBay | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $569 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $560 | Mercari | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $546 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $564 | PWCC | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $585 | Mercari | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $568 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $507 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $518 | PWCC | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $487 | eBay | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $497 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $458 | PWCC | Near Mint | 23d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $303 | $254 | 15.9% | 11.6% | 8 | 57 |
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Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $271 | $268 | 1.4% | 23.8% | 2 | 37 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $528 | $496 | 6.0% | 12.6% | 21 | 33 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $390 | $351 | 10.0% | 3.1% | 16 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $337 | $271 | 19.7% | 14.7% | 15 | 47 |