Goldeen
PSA 9SimulatedGoldeen · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Common · 55
Character: Goldeen
Price History
Opportunity Score
59- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Price up 19% over 30 days+8 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish97Goldeen (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+18.6%). Estimated fair value is $43 against a lowest active listing of $41. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+18.6% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growth slowing to 0.9%/mo — supply tightening across 5335 graded.
5,335 graded · 44% gem · +0.9%/mo
- Raw cost
- $40.83
- All-in cost
- $69.83+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $43.05
- Expected proceeds
- $11.2430% gem → $12.92 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$58.59
- Breakeven graded value
- $268value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 2.0dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 78.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +0.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 2active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $94.66mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $94.82cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $81.89
- Median
- $98.56
- Mean
- $101
- Max
- $123
Showing 11 of 13 sales · 2 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 40.1 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 42.1 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 42.27 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.73 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.42 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $98.56 | PWCC | Graded | 55d ago |
| $81.89 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 57d ago |
| $97.59 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 63d ago |
| $91.94 | PWCC | Graded | 63d ago |
| $97.41 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64d ago |
| $103 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 82d ago |
| $92.43 | eBay | Graded | 84d ago |
| $102 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 90d ago |
| $112 | eBay | Graded | 92d ago |
| $116 | PWCC | Graded | 94d ago |
| $123 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 94d ago |
| $149 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 106d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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