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Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare) · Base Set · Illustration Rare · 15/102

Character: Sylveon

high confidencebearish3830d 8.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$615
Lowest listing $634
Bear Case
$508
Base Case
$615
Bull Case
$721

Price History

Dec 2Range $467$790May 30

Opportunity Score

35
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish38

Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.4%). Estimated fair value is $615 against a lowest active listing of $634. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-8.4% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
9.0
Velocity Score
45/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+4.0%
Total Graded
1,420
Gem Mint
655
Population Growth
-0.1%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps599.6450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices686.9325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection554.5925%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.0350%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.7920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$413PWCCGraded6418d agoJan 1View
$490eBayGraded763d agoJan 1View
$491Facebook MarketplaceGraded7720d agoJan 1View
$492MercariGraded793d agoJan 1View
$500Facebook MarketplaceGraded652d agoJan 1View
$502Facebook MarketplaceGraded9321d agoJun 3View
$504PWCCGraded7013d agoJan 1View
$534TCGPlayerGraded688d agoJan 1View
$542eBayGraded6423h agoJan 1View
$545eBayGraded9223h agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$567MercariGraded1d ago
$515eBayGraded2d ago
$521eBayGraded6d ago
$486eBayGraded8d ago
$512PWCCGraded9d ago
$498PWCCGraded10d ago
$504PWCCGraded11d ago
$489MercariGraded12d ago
$520PWCCGraded14d ago
$495MercariGraded15d ago
$545Facebook MarketplaceGraded17d ago
$507Facebook MarketplaceGraded21d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Price up 37% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$9,854$9,3814.8%37.3%1344
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$909$946-4.1%12.8%232
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
$47,275$41,26612.7%12.4%1944
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$1,946$1,72711.3%17.9%2336
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • Price up 37% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$1,167$1,1471.7%36.8%1336
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$2,022$1,9026.0%9.3%2135