Price History
Opportunity Score
35- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish38Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.4%). Estimated fair value is $615 against a lowest active listing of $634. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-8.4% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 599.64 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 686.93 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 554.59 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.03 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.79 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $413 | PWCC | Graded | 64 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $490 | eBay | Graded | 76 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $491 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 77 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $492 | Mercari | Graded | 79 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $500 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 65 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $502 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 93 | 21d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $504 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $534 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 68 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $542 | eBay | Graded | 64 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $545 | eBay | Graded | 92 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $567 | Mercari | Graded | 1d ago |
| $515 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $521 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $486 | eBay | Graded | 8d ago |
| $512 | PWCC | Graded | 9d ago |
| $498 | PWCC | Graded | 10d ago |
| $504 | PWCC | Graded | 11d ago |
| $489 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $520 | PWCC | Graded | 14d ago |
| $495 | Mercari | Graded | 15d ago |
| $545 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 17d ago |
| $507 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 21d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,854 | $9,381 | 4.8% | 37.3% | 13 | 44 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $909 | $946 | -4.1% | 12.8% | 2 | 32 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $47,275 | $41,266 | 12.7% | 12.4% | 19 | 44 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $1,946 | $1,727 | 11.3% | 17.9% | 23 | 36 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $1,167 | $1,147 | 1.7% | 36.8% | 13 | 36 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $2,022 | $1,902 | 6.0% | 9.3% | 21 | 35 |