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Venusaur Ultra Rare

Simulated

Venusaur Ultra Rare · Evolving Skies · Ultra Rare · 162/237

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebullish9030d 58.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$216
Lowest listing $1988.3% below
Bear Case
$183
Base Case
$216
Bull Case
$253

Price History

Dec 2Range $165$268May 30

Opportunity Score

47
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Price up 58% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish90

Venusaur Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+58.3%). Estimated fair value is $216 against a lowest active listing of $198. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+58.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
6.0
Velocity Score
30/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+20.6%
Confidence
84/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps188.350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices222.0725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection232.3425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.1220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$175MercariNear Mint685d agoJan 1View
$178eBayNear Mint925d agoJan 1View
$184eBayNear Mint7817d agoJun 3View
$188TCGPlayerNear Mint944d agoJan 1View
$194MercariNear Mint7019d agoJun 1View
$195TCGPlayerNear Mint6016d agoJun 1View
$202PWCCNear Mint935d agoJan 1View
$205MercariNear Mint9413d agoJan 1View
$205eBayNear Mint946d agoJan 1View
$212Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint904d agoJan 1View
$215TCGPlayerNear Mint7523h agoJan 1View
$231eBayNear Mint918d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$181eBayNear Mint12d ago
$188eBayNear Mint14d ago
$198eBayNear Mint15d ago
$183MercariNear Mint20d ago
$216PWCCNear Mint21d ago
$196Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint22d ago
$202MercariNear Mint23d ago
$246eBayNear Mint29d ago
$264TCGPlayerNear Mint30d ago
$231PWCCNear Mint30d ago
$250Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint31d ago
$211MercariNear Mint41d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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