Venusaur Ultra Rare
SimulatedVenusaur Ultra Rare · Evolving Skies · Ultra Rare · 162/237
Character: Venusaur
Price History
Opportunity Score
47- 8% below fair value+10 pts
- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Price up 58% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Venusaur Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+58.3%). Estimated fair value is $216 against a lowest active listing of $198. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+58.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 188.3 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 222.07 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 232.34 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.12 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $175 | Mercari | Near Mint | 68 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $178 | eBay | Near Mint | 92 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $184 | eBay | Near Mint | 78 | 17d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $188 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 94 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $194 | Mercari | Near Mint | 70 | 19d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $195 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 60 | 16d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $202 | PWCC | Near Mint | 93 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $205 | Mercari | Near Mint | 94 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $205 | eBay | Near Mint | 94 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $212 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 90 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $215 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $231 | eBay | Near Mint | 91 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $181 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $188 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $198 | eBay | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $183 | Mercari | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $216 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $196 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $202 | Mercari | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $246 | eBay | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $264 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $231 | PWCC | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $250 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $211 | Mercari | Near Mint | 41d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
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MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,592 | $1,469 | 7.7% | 4.6% | 19 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $303 | $267 | 12.0% | 0.8% | 16 | 39 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $721 | $682 | 5.3% | 11.8% | 3 | 49 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $727 | $684 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 17 | 38 |