Electabuzz
BGS 9SimulatedElectabuzz · XY Evolutions · Common · 41
Character: Electabuzz
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish86Electabuzz (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+13.9%). Estimated fair value is $34 against a lowest active listing of $34. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+13.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growth slowing to 1.5%/mo — supply tightening across 5791 graded.
5,791 graded · 50% gem · +1.5%/mo
- Raw cost
- $33.80
- All-in cost
- $62.80+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $33.85
- Expected proceeds
- $8.8330% gem → $10.15 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$53.97
- Breakeven graded value
- $241value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of BGS 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 3.2dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 16.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -8.9%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 21active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $131mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $120cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $120
- Median
- $140
- Mean
- $136
- Max
- $150
Showing 7 of 7 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 33.35 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 38 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 33.38 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.02 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.94 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $120 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $124 | Mercari | Graded | 81 | 63d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $125 | Mercari | Graded | 66 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $126 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 86 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $128 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 62 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | Mercari | Graded | 80 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $137 | eBay | Graded | 77 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $138 | PWCC | Graded | 94 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $139 | eBay | Graded | 77 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $140 | PWCC | Graded | 83 | 70d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $143 | Mercari | Graded | 90 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $143 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 90 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $144 | Mercari | Graded | 76d ago |
| $120 | PWCC | Graded | 79d ago |
| $136 | eBay | Graded | 87d ago |
| $125 | Mercari | Graded | 90d ago |
| $140 | eBay | Graded | 101d ago |
| $140 | Mercari | Graded | 112d ago |
| $150 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 114d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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