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Venusaur Holo Rare

BGS 10Simulated

Venusaur Holo Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Holo Rare · 44/180

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebullish8530d 21.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$173
Lowest listing $1589.0% below
Bear Case
$148
Base Case
$173
Bull Case
$200

Price History

Dec 2Range $133$190May 30

Opportunity Score

41
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Population growth slowing+3 pts
  • Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish85

Venusaur Holo Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+21.5%). Estimated fair value is $173 against a lowest active listing of $158. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+21.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
5.0
Velocity Score
25/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+2.6%
Total Graded
1,531
Gem Mint
584
Population Growth
+3.2%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps169.0450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices180.4725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection181.9125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.6150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.5220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$159Facebook MarketplaceGraded6811d agoJan 1View
$166eBayGraded754d agoJun 2View
$169MercariGraded9817d agoMay 31View
$172eBayGraded9419d agoJan 1View
$177TCGPlayerGraded9119d agoJan 1View
$177PWCCGraded6010d agoJan 1View
$180eBayGraded904d agoJan 1View
$191PWCCGraded763d agoJan 1View
$197MercariGraded8915d agoJan 1View
$200Facebook MarketplaceGraded8317d agoJun 4View
$202Facebook MarketplaceGraded9710d agoJan 1View
$203TCGPlayerGraded9810d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$160eBayGraded4d ago
$143TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$145Facebook MarketplaceGraded11d ago
$152TCGPlayerGraded12d ago
$136eBayGraded12d ago
$156PWCCGraded17d ago
$164eBayGraded23d ago
$158MercariGraded23d ago
$138TCGPlayerGraded24d ago
$157PWCCGraded26d ago
$178TCGPlayerGraded30d ago
$162TCGPlayerGraded38d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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