Venusaur Holo Rare
BGS 10SimulatedVenusaur Holo Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Holo Rare · 44/180
Character: Venusaur
Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
- Sales accelerating+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish85Venusaur Holo Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+21.5%). Estimated fair value is $173 against a lowest active listing of $158. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+21.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 169.04 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 180.47 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 181.91 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.61 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.52 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $159 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 68 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $166 | eBay | Graded | 75 | 4d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $169 | Mercari | Graded | 98 | 17d ago | May 31 | View |
| $172 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $177 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 91 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $177 | PWCC | Graded | 60 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $180 | eBay | Graded | 90 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $191 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $197 | Mercari | Graded | 89 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $200 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $202 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 97 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $203 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 98 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $160 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $143 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $145 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 11d ago |
| $152 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 12d ago |
| $136 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $156 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $164 | eBay | Graded | 23d ago |
| $158 | Mercari | Graded | 23d ago |
| $138 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 24d ago |
| $157 | PWCC | Graded | 26d ago |
| $178 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 30d ago |
| $162 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 38d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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