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Meowth — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Common

Meowth

Simulated

Meowth · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Common · 52

Character: Meowth

high confidencebearish3030d ▼14.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$25.69
Lowest listing $22.9910.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$20.43
Base Case
$25.69
Bull Case
$30.76

Price History

Dec 8Range $54.19 – $82.82Jun 5

Opportunity Score

41
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish30

Meowth is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-14.6%). Estimated fair value is $26 against a lowest active listing of $23. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-14.6% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
16.5
Velocity Score
83/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+11.6%
Confidence
92/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-53.8%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$22.99
All-in cost
$51.99+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$91.96
Expected proceeds
$24.0030% gem → $27.59 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.99
Breakeven graded value
$199value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
0.8dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
76.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-1.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
9active listings
Recent sold avg
$75.01mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$73.96cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$67.14
Median
$74.80
Mean
$74.23
Max
$82.72

Showing 36 of 39 sales · 3 outliers trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps25.250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices26.0725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection23.9725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.3220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$73.96PWCCNear Mint8669d agoJun 8View
$76.22eBayNear Mint8962d agoJan 1View
$76.78TCGPlayerNear Mint9555d agoJan 1View
$77.44PWCCNear Mint9361d agoJan 1View
$79.25eBayNear Mint9375d agoJan 1View
$79.44TCGPlayerNear Mint6565d agoJan 1View
$83.45Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6372d agoJan 1View
$84.00MercariNear Mint7465d agoJan 1View
$85.73eBayNear Mint6474d agoJun 9View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$70.90TCGPlayerNear Mint55d ago
$70.74TCGPlayerNear Mint56d ago
$69.19eBayNear Mint56d ago
$75.83TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$74.66Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint58d ago
$73.67eBayNear Mint59d ago
$77.19PWCCNear Mint59d ago
$78.28eBayNear Mint60d ago
$70.49TCGPlayerNear Mint61d ago
$73.63MercariNear Mint61d ago
$77.88PWCCNear Mint62d ago
$82.15MercariNear Mint63d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
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  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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Charmeleon — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Uncommon
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  • Reputable seller+6 pts
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