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Venusaur Promo

Simulated

Venusaur Promo · Fossil · Promo · 18/62

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebullish8330d 11.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$515
Lowest listing $44812.9% below
Bear Case
$434
Base Case
$515
Bull Case
$598

Price History

Dec 2Range $282 – $426May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish83

Venusaur Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.9%). Estimated fair value is $515 against a lowest active listing of $448. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+11.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.7%
Confidence
96/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps455.8850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices521.8725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection521.2725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.3320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$350PWCCNear Mint657d agoJan 1View
$363eBayNear Mint787d agoJan 1View
$370MercariNear Mint702d agoJan 1View
$406TCGPlayerNear Mint748d agoJan 1View
$420PWCCNear Mint8215d agoJan 1View
$430TCGPlayerNear Mint8616d agoJan 1View
$440eBayNear Mint6723h agoJan 1View
$454Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint913d agoJan 1View
$457MercariNear Mint795d agoJun 1View
$460TCGPlayerNear Mint902d agoJan 1View
$461PWCCNear Mint608d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$440eBayNear Mint3d ago
$382PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$369MercariNear Mint7d ago
$415PWCCNear Mint11d ago
$416eBayNear Mint11d ago
$405TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$376TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$364TCGPlayerNear Mint15d ago
$424Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint22d ago
$437MercariNear Mint23d ago
$378TCGPlayerNear Mint25d ago
$404PWCCNear Mint27d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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