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Slowking — Prismatic Evolutions — Uncommon

Slowking

Simulated

Slowking · Prismatic Evolutions · Uncommon · 19

Character: Slowking

high confidencebullish9030d 25.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$18.85
Lowest listing $18.213.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$14.83
Base Case
$18.85
Bull Case
$23.01

Price History

Dec 8Range $44.38 – $74.84Jun 5

Opportunity Score

34
  • Price up 26% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • 3% below fair value+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish90

Slowking is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.9%). Estimated fair value is $19 against a lowest active listing of $18. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+25.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.0%
Confidence
80/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-59.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$18.21
All-in cost
$47.21+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$72.84
Expected proceeds
$19.0130% gem → $21.85 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$28.20
Breakeven graded value
$181value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
70.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-18.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
8active listings
Recent sold avg
$65.91mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$53.68cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$57.08
Median
$64.90
Mean
$65.34
Max
$78.66

Showing 32 of 32 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps17.3150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices20.7325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection20.2125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.2120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$53.68MercariNear Mint8372d agoJun 10View
$54.01TCGPlayerNear Mint8056d agoJan 1View
$57.77Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7358d agoJun 7View
$60.97eBayNear Mint8872d agoJan 1View
$61.95MercariNear Mint7569d agoJan 1View
$65.52TCGPlayerNear Mint7959d agoJan 1View
$66.05PWCCNear Mint7265d agoJan 1View
$69.51Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7559d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$66.53Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint57d ago
$65.75TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago
$78.31Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint63d ago
$78.09PWCCNear Mint64d ago
$68.21Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint64d ago
$68.87eBayNear Mint66d ago
$69.35eBayNear Mint67d ago
$78.66MercariNear Mint68d ago
$59.89Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint70d ago
$57.08TCGPlayerNear Mint74d ago
$66.24PWCCNear Mint76d ago
$60.83TCGPlayerNear Mint79d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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