Venusaur Ultra Rare
PSA 9SimulatedVenusaur Ultra Rare · Evolving Skies · Ultra Rare · 55/237
Character: Venusaur
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish95Venusaur Ultra Rare (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+27.4%). Estimated fair value is $151 against a lowest active listing of $141. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+27.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 138.68 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 163.52 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 156.68 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.2 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.24 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $149 | Mercari | Graded | 82 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $150 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 62 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $150 | eBay | Graded | 65 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $152 | eBay | Graded | 78 | 5d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $152 | eBay | Graded | 98 | 10d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $161 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 72 | 8d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $161 | eBay | Graded | 66 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $163 | PWCC | Graded | 96 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $165 | Mercari | Graded | 86 | 13d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $166 | PWCC | Graded | 85 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $168 | Mercari | Graded | 82 | 3d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $171 | PWCC | Graded | 95 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $162 | Mercari | Graded | 12h ago |
| $160 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 3d ago |
| $177 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $181 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 6d ago |
| $179 | PWCC | Graded | 11d ago |
| $177 | Mercari | Graded | 11d ago |
| $181 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $184 | Mercari | Graded | 15d ago |
| $181 | eBay | Graded | 15d ago |
| $181 | PWCC | Graded | 18d ago |
| $187 | eBay | Graded | 19d ago |
| $192 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 21d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $234 | $219 | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7 | 27 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $554 | $511 | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13 | 35 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,644 | $1,523 | 7.4% | 6.5% | 13 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $291 | $276 | 5.0% | 3.5% | 16 | 35 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $716 | $592 | 17.4% | 1.4% | 12 | 56 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $728 | $672 | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13 | 47 |