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Tyranitar ex (Special Illustration) card artwork

Tyranitar ex (Special Illustration)

CGC 9Simulated

Tyranitar ex (Special Illustration) · Hidden Fates · Special Illustration Rare · 90/163

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish8230d ▲37.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$261
Lowest listing $2436.9% below
Bear Case
$217
Base Case
$261
Bull Case
$308

Price History

Dec 2Range $202 – $340May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Price up 37% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish82

Tyranitar ex (Special Illustration) (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+37.1%). Estimated fair value is $261 against a lowest active listing of $243. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+37.1% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.8%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
5.5
Velocity Score
28/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.6%
Total Graded
5,115
Gem Mint
1,596
Population Growth
+5.8%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps229.2850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices280.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection281.8725%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.9150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.3220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$270Facebook MarketplaceGraded9414d agoMay 31View
$354eBayGraded6719d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$280TCGPlayerGraded11h ago
$281PWCCGraded6d ago
$269PWCCGraded13d ago
$270PWCCGraded14d ago
$266eBayGraded20d ago
$220MercariGraded23d ago
$200MercariGraded25d ago
$193TCGPlayerGraded25d ago
$206TCGPlayerGraded27d ago
$217eBayGraded29d ago
$237TCGPlayerGraded31d ago
$221TCGPlayerGraded36d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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