Price History
Opportunity Score
56- 22% below fair value+26 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish15Mew V (Full Art) (BGS 9) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-19.9%). Estimated fair value is $993 against a lowest active listing of $770. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-19.9% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and rising graded population (6.0%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1064.27 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 878.89 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 949.45 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.51 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $889 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $894 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 89 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $904 | PWCC | Graded | 60 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $924 | PWCC | Graded | 67 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $929 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 67 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $931 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $933 | Mercari | Graded | 84 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $996 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,004 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 60 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,023 | Mercari | Graded | 86 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,037 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 76 | 9d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $1,047 | PWCC | Graded | 63 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,102 | Mercari | Graded | 7d ago |
| $1,190 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 11d ago |
| $967 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 18d ago |
| $1,003 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $1,072 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 23d ago |
| $1,262 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 32d ago |
| $1,317 | eBay | Graded | 47d ago |
| $1,274 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 52d ago |
| $1,252 | PWCC | Graded | 57d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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