PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Tyranitar Holo Rare card artwork

Tyranitar Holo Rare

Simulated

Tyranitar Holo Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Holo Rare · 19/109

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish8630d ▲11.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$173
Lowest listing $15013.1% below
Bear Case
$146
Base Case
$173
Bull Case
$200

Price History

Dec 2Range $115 – $217May 30

Opportunity Score

45
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish86

Tyranitar Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.7%). Estimated fair value is $173 against a lowest active listing of $150. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+11.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+1.7%
Confidence
93/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps169.1850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices171.7425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection17825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.3520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$145MercariNear Mint923d agoJan 1View
$147eBayNear Mint6110d agoJan 1View
$153eBayNear Mint7917d agoJan 1View
$166TCGPlayerNear Mint8513d agoJan 1View
$172Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint772d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$148MercariNear Mint12h ago
$141Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint2d ago
$134PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$131eBayNear Mint5d ago
$130TCGPlayerNear Mint6d ago
$145TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$164eBayNear Mint14d ago
$172TCGPlayerNear Mint17d ago
$185PWCCNear Mint19d ago
$182eBayNear Mint21d ago
$198eBayNear Mint21d ago
$197Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Holo RareEX Ruby & SapphireBGS 9Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$437$38512.0%▲1.6%1844
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$460$39613.9%▼8.0%1546
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 19% below fair value+22 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$414$33519.1%▼6.0%949
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$426$35317.3%▼7.1%1544
Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$318$2869.9%▲3.4%1344
Snorlax V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphirePSA 9.5Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$389$33713.4%▼10.3%456