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Lucario Holo Rare

Simulated

Lucario Holo Rare · Base Set · Holo Rare · 96/102

Character: Lucario

high confidenceneutral5930d 0.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$377
Lowest listing $32513.9% below
Bear Case
$323
Base Case
$377
Bull Case
$431

Price History

Dec 2Range $265 – $464May 30

Opportunity Score

44
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral59

Lucario Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.6%). Estimated fair value is $377 against a lowest active listing of $325. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
10.0
Velocity Score
50/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.5%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps364.7150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices378.3825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection363.8525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$316MercariNear Mint616d agoJan 1View
$326Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint763d agoJan 1View
$329TCGPlayerNear Mint9011d agoJan 1View
$338MercariNear Mint999d agoJan 1View
$341MercariNear Mint6717d agoJan 1View
$359TCGPlayerNear Mint7418d agoJun 1View
$361MercariNear Mint7019d agoJun 4View
$373Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint857d agoJan 1View
$379eBayNear Mint758d agoJan 1View
$391eBayNear Mint9414d agoJan 1View
$392PWCCNear Mint6811d agoJun 4View
$398MercariNear Mint9818d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$315Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint2d ago
$322TCGPlayerNear Mint3d ago
$313PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$326TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$305TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$325TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$333TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$298Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16d ago
$314TCGPlayerNear Mint17d ago
$302eBayNear Mint20d ago
$306MercariNear Mint20d ago
$259MercariNear Mint22d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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