PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Espeon VMAX (Alt Art) card artwork

Espeon VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Espeon VMAX (Alt Art) · Jungle · Alt Art · 43/64

Character: Espeon

high confidenceneutral4630d ▼5.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$979
Lowest listing $9186.2% below
Bear Case
$813
Base Case
$979
Bull Case
$1,139

Price History

Dec 2Range $656 – $1.4KMay 30

Opportunity Score

32
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral46

Espeon VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.7%). Estimated fair value is $979 against a lowest active listing of $918. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-5.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
11.0
Velocity Score
55/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-5.8%
Confidence
90/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1007.1250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1017.9925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection929.8125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.1520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,058TCGPlayerNear Mint848d agoJan 1View
$1,126eBayNear Mint7610d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,041PWCCNear Mint15h ago
$1,047TCGPlayerNear Mint2d ago
$1,053PWCCNear Mint2d ago
$1,052Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5d ago
$992PWCCNear Mint6d ago
$1,210MercariNear Mint15d ago
$1,216MercariNear Mint16d ago
$1,270eBayNear Mint18d ago
$1,475MercariNear Mint19d ago
$1,423MercariNear Mint19d ago
$1,338Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint22d ago
$1,443eBayNear Mint24d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon Holo RareJungleSimulated
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$780$7651.9%▲8.5%334
Umbreon Secret RareJungleBGS 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$5,030$4,8493.6%▲9.1%935
Rayquaza V (Full Art)JungleSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$862$77410.2%▲22.2%2145
Lugia Ultra RareJungleSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$943$82412.6%▼6.3%1334
Mew Ultra RareJungleSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$766$66912.7%▲12.3%1648
Mew V (Full Art)JungleBGS 9Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,137$1,0339.1%▲14.3%2139