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Lucario Secret Rare

CGC 9Simulated

Lucario Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 71/163

Character: Lucario

high confidencebullish9430d 21.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$396
Lowest listing $3852.7% below
Bear Case
$343
Base Case
$396
Bull Case
$452

Price History

Dec 2Range $349$558May 30

Opportunity Score

48
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • 3% below fair value+3 pts
  • Population growth slowing+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish94

Lucario Secret Rare (CGC 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+21.4%). Estimated fair value is $396 against a lowest active listing of $385. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+21.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.1%
Total Graded
2,811
Gem Mint
868
Population Growth
+3.5%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps357.1250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices437.1125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection396.8825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.7850%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.2220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$374Facebook MarketplaceGraded8811d agoJan 1View
$383Facebook MarketplaceGraded713d agoJan 1View
$387MercariGraded7718d agoJan 1View
$417eBayGraded627d agoJan 1View
$438Facebook MarketplaceGraded868d agoJan 1View
$443TCGPlayerGraded644d agoJan 1View
$448MercariGraded913d agoJan 1View
$455TCGPlayerGraded615d agoJan 1View
$469MercariGraded8914d agoJan 1View
$476Facebook MarketplaceGraded8219d agoJan 1View
$482PWCCGraded658d agoJan 1View
$483PWCCGraded898d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$441PWCCGraded2d ago
$386Facebook MarketplaceGraded4d ago
$410eBayGraded7d ago
$368eBayGraded8d ago
$408eBayGraded11d ago
$381eBayGraded12d ago
$387eBayGraded13d ago
$348TCGPlayerGraded14d ago
$352PWCCGraded15d ago
$352PWCCGraded17d ago
$395MercariGraded18d ago
$344Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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