Lucario Secret Rare
CGC 9SimulatedLucario Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 71/163
Character: Lucario
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- 3% below fair value+3 pts
- Population growth slowing+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish94Lucario Secret Rare (CGC 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+21.4%). Estimated fair value is $396 against a lowest active listing of $385. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+21.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 357.12 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 437.11 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 396.88 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.78 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.22 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $374 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 88 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $383 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $387 | Mercari | Graded | 77 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $417 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $438 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 86 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $443 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $448 | Mercari | Graded | 91 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $455 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 61 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $469 | Mercari | Graded | 89 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $476 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 82 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $482 | PWCC | Graded | 65 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $483 | PWCC | Graded | 89 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $441 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $386 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $410 | eBay | Graded | 7d ago |
| $368 | eBay | Graded | 8d ago |
| $408 | eBay | Graded | 11d ago |
| $381 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $387 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $348 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 14d ago |
| $352 | PWCC | Graded | 15d ago |
| $352 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $395 | Mercari | Graded | 18d ago |
| $344 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 19d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
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Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
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Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
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Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $416 | $378 | 9.1% | 7.6% | 14 | 41 |
Snorlax Ultra RareHidden FatesBGS 10Simulated
| $549 | $506 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 2 | 43 |