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Dec 2Range $368 – $512May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$413
Lowest listing $3983.6% below
Bear Case
$360
Base Case
$413
Bull Case
$470
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- Price up 24% over 30 days+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- 4% below fair value+4 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish94Gardevoir Promo is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+23.8%). Estimated fair value is $413 against a lowest active listing of $398. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+23.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
12
Sales / Month
11.5
Velocity Score
57/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.8%
Confidence
98/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 373.84 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 466.45 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 447.36 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.55 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 65 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $404 | eBay | Near Mint | 69 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $415 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 87 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $416 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $418 | Mercari | Near Mint | 97 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $419 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 81 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $435 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $435 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $443 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 63 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $458 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 96 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $463 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $463 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $503 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $537 | PWCC | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $487 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $495 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $535 | PWCC | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $524 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $483 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $472 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $528 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $490 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $485 | eBay | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $418 | PWCC | Near Mint | 32d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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