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Farfetch'd — Base Set — Uncommon

Farfetch'd

Simulated

Farfetch'd · Base Set · Uncommon · 27

Character: Farfetch'd

high confidencebullish6930d ▲3.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$128
Lowest listing $10914.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$108
Base Case
$128
Bull Case
$148

Price History

Dec 8Range $150 – $301Jun 5

Opportunity Score

44
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish69

Farfetch'd is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.6%). Estimated fair value is $128 against a lowest active listing of $109. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.1%
Confidence
96/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-17.5%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$109
All-in cost
$138+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$438
Expected proceeds
$11430% gem → $131 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$24.18
Breakeven graded value
$531value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.2dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
49.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-6.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$267mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$250cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$220
Median
$249
Mean
$257
Max
$308

Showing 32 of 32 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps129.9550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices131.6125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection132.3625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.2120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$250eBayNear Mint7958d agoJan 1View
$253Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7157d agoJan 1View
$254Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8371d agoJan 1View
$259Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint10073d agoJan 1View
$260eBayNear Mint8475d agoJan 1View
$278MercariNear Mint6369d agoJan 1View
$278PWCCNear Mint6857d agoJun 7View
$284MercariNear Mint7265d agoJan 1View
$286TCGPlayerNear Mint8056d agoJan 1View
$286eBayNear Mint8461d agoJun 10View
$287eBayNear Mint7555d agoJun 10View
$288MercariNear Mint7065d agoJun 9View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$268Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint56d ago
$284MercariNear Mint57d ago
$278MercariNear Mint59d ago
$308TCGPlayerNear Mint67d ago
$293TCGPlayerNear Mint69d ago
$294MercariNear Mint70d ago
$300TCGPlayerNear Mint71d ago
$282TCGPlayerNear Mint72d ago
$288eBayNear Mint74d ago
$275eBayNear Mint74d ago
$280eBayNear Mint75d ago
$277TCGPlayerNear Mint78d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

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  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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  • Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
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Mewtwo (Base) — Base Set — Holo Rare
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  • 50% below fair value+35 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • Price up 26% over 30 days+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
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Blastoise — Base Set — Holo Rare
BlastoiseBase SetPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $229 · sales-derived, ungradedView $149 · TCGPlayer
  • 25% below fair value+29 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$2,339$1,75524.9%▲11.1%159
Gyarados — Base Set — Rare Holo
GyaradosBase SetSimulated
  • 20% below fair value+24 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$1,215$97020.1%▼11.9%1656
Onix — Base Set — Common
OnixBase SetSimulated
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$227$231-1.9%▲14.1%535
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