Price History
Opportunity Score
35- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish23Mew ex (Illustration Rare) (PSA 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-12.3%). Estimated fair value is $1096 against a lowest active listing of $1028. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-12.3% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1136.72 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1081.78 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1100.54 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.6 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $852 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 70 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $864 | Mercari | Graded | 95 | 17d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $868 | eBay | Graded | 66 | 11d ago | May 31 | View |
| $870 | eBay | Graded | 98 | 2d ago | May 31 | View |
| $881 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 75 | 10d ago | May 31 | View |
| $894 | PWCC | Graded | 61 | 12d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $902 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $924 | PWCC | Graded | 88 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $929 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 72 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $947 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 93 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $990 | PWCC | Graded | 80 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,016 | Mercari | Graded | 69 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $921 | Mercari | Graded | 13h ago |
| $980 | eBay | Graded | 17d ago |
| $1,001 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 23d ago |
| $961 | PWCC | Graded | 23d ago |
| $1,017 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $866 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 25d ago |
| $914 | Mercari | Graded | 26d ago |
| $971 | Mercari | Graded | 29d ago |
| $1,055 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 34d ago |
| $1,026 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 37d ago |
| $1,047 | Mercari | Graded | 44d ago |
| $1,159 | Mercari | Graded | 49d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,553 | $6,844 | 9.4% | 19.5% | 10 | 49 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $855 | $744 | 13.0% | 21.1% | 23 | 56 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $46,903 | $42,754 | 8.8% | 1.9% | 9 | 44 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $3,104 | $2,747 | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21 | 55 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $972 | $766 | 21.2% | 27.4% | 9 | 53 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,710 | $1,624 | 5.0% | 16.8% | 13 | 34 |