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Mew ex (Illustration Rare)

PSA 9.5Simulated

Mew ex (Illustration Rare) · Base Set · Illustration Rare · 69/102

Character: Mew

high confidencebearish2330d 12.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,096
Lowest listing $1,0286.2% below
Bear Case
$925
Base Case
$1,096
Bull Case
$1,265

Price History

Dec 2Range $800$1.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

35
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish23

Mew ex (Illustration Rare) (PSA 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-12.3%). Estimated fair value is $1096 against a lowest active listing of $1028. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-12.3% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
8.5
Velocity Score
43/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+5.0%
Total Graded
6,019
Gem Mint
3,013
Population Growth
+5.2%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1136.7250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1081.7825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1100.5425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$852TCGPlayerGraded7019d agoJan 1View
$864MercariGraded9517d agoJun 3View
$868eBayGraded6611d agoMay 31View
$870eBayGraded982d agoMay 31View
$881TCGPlayerGraded7510d agoMay 31View
$894PWCCGraded6112d agoJun 1View
$902PWCCGraded828d agoJan 1View
$924PWCCGraded889d agoJan 1View
$929Facebook MarketplaceGraded7212d agoJan 1View
$947Facebook MarketplaceGraded9321d agoJan 1View
$990PWCCGraded8013d agoJan 1View
$1,016MercariGraded6917d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$921MercariGraded13h ago
$980eBayGraded17d ago
$1,001Facebook MarketplaceGraded23d ago
$961PWCCGraded23d ago
$1,017Facebook MarketplaceGraded24d ago
$866TCGPlayerGraded25d ago
$914MercariGraded26d ago
$971MercariGraded29d ago
$1,055TCGPlayerGraded34d ago
$1,026Facebook MarketplaceGraded37d ago
$1,047MercariGraded44d ago
$1,159MercariGraded49d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$7,553$6,8449.4%19.5%1049
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
$855$74413.0%21.1%2356
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$46,903$42,7548.8%1.9%944
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+13 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$3,104$2,74711.5%17.7%2155
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • 21% below fair value+25 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$972$76621.2%27.4%953
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,710$1,6245.0%16.8%1334