PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · Fossil · Alt Art · 6/62

Character: Umbreon

high confidencebearish3730d 9.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,570
Lowest listing $1,35113.9% below
Bear Case
$1,355
Base Case
$1,570
Bull Case
$1,781

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.1K – $1.8KMay 30

Opportunity Score

45
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish37

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.2%). Estimated fair value is $1570 against a lowest active listing of $1351. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-9.2% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.8%
Confidence
94/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1576.4550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1459.6925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1533.5525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.1620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,768MercariNear Mint7513d agoJun 1View
$1,820Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9922h agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,875PWCCNear Mint20h ago
$1,862PWCCNear Mint23h ago
$1,894PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$1,658Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6d ago
$1,664MercariNear Mint7d ago
$1,623Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7d ago
$1,628TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$1,809Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint12d ago
$1,555Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint15d ago
$1,719PWCCNear Mint15d ago
$1,650TCGPlayerNear Mint16d ago
$1,713Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint17d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Ultra RareFossilSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$1,778$1,55812.4%10.1%935
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$294$2718.1%18.2%546
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$1,562$1,36312.7%4.7%751
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 27% below fair value+31 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$290$21326.6%28.7%659
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$544$46215.0%14.6%1648
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$390$3529.6%8.3%452