Rayquaza Holo Rare
PSA 10SimulatedRayquaza Holo Rare · Crown Zenith · Holo Rare · 45/159
Character: Rayquaza
Price History
Opportunity Score
37- Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish81Rayquaza Holo Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.7%). Estimated fair value is $329 against a lowest active listing of $347. Valuation confidence is medium based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+20.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 302.11 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 385.54 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 320.75 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.62 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.07 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $255 | PWCC | Graded | 69 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $259 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 72 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $261 | eBay | Graded | 61 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $265 | Mercari | Graded | 89 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $268 | eBay | Graded | 76 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $287 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $288 | eBay | Graded | 81 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $303 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 67 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $314 | eBay | Graded | 92 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $317 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 94 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $317 | PWCC | Graded | 77 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $318 | eBay | Graded | 72 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $309 | Mercari | Graded | 7d ago |
| $301 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 16d ago |
| $296 | Mercari | Graded | 28d ago |
| $309 | PWCC | Graded | 35d ago |
| $295 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 40d ago |
| $305 | PWCC | Graded | 45d ago |
| $289 | Mercari | Graded | 51d ago |
| $334 | PWCC | Graded | 54d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard V (Full Art)Crown ZenithSimulated
| $612 | $559 | 8.8% | 20.5% | 17 | 42 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $879 | $768 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 22 | 39 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $619 | $520 | 16.0% | 15.6% | 22 | 43 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $413 | $390 | 5.6% | 8.1% | 18 | 44 |
Lugia Secret RareCrown ZenithSimulated
| $447 | $376 | 15.8% | 2.0% | 23 | 48 |
Rayquaza Ultra RareFossilSimulated
| $1,216 | $1,019 | 16.2% | 3.8% | 22 | 52 |