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Rayquaza Holo Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Rayquaza Holo Rare · Crown Zenith · Holo Rare · 45/159

Character: Rayquaza

medium confidencebullish8130d 20.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$329
Lowest listing $347
Bear Case
$291
Base Case
$329
Bull Case
$369

Price History

Dec 2Range $234$408May 30

Opportunity Score

37
  • Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish81

Rayquaza Holo Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.7%). Estimated fair value is $329 against a lowest active listing of $347. Valuation confidence is medium based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+20.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+15.3%
Total Graded
247
Gem Mint
118
Population Growth
+5.2%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps302.1150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices385.5425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection320.7525%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.6250%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.0720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$255PWCCGraded692d agoJan 1View
$259Facebook MarketplaceGraded725d agoJan 1View
$261eBayGraded6119d agoJan 1View
$265MercariGraded8918d agoJan 1View
$268eBayGraded7622h agoJan 1View
$287TCGPlayerGraded778d agoJan 1View
$288eBayGraded8115d agoJan 1View
$303TCGPlayerGraded6713d agoJan 1View
$314eBayGraded927d agoJan 1View
$317TCGPlayerGraded943d agoJan 1View
$317PWCCGraded7710d agoJan 1View
$318eBayGraded7220d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$309MercariGraded7d ago
$301Facebook MarketplaceGraded16d ago
$296MercariGraded28d ago
$309PWCCGraded35d ago
$295TCGPlayerGraded40d ago
$305PWCCGraded45d ago
$289MercariGraded51d ago
$334PWCCGraded54d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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