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Nidoran ♀ — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Common

Nidoran ♀

Simulated

Nidoran ♀ · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Common · 29

Character: Nidoran

high confidencebullish9130d 22.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$86.05
Lowest listing $77.739.7% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$74.58
Base Case
$86.05
Bull Case
$98.14

Price History

Dec 8Range $55.63 – $118Jun 5

Opportunity Score

45
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Nidoran ♀ is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+22.4%). Estimated fair value is $86 against a lowest active listing of $78. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+22.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
7.5
Velocity Score
38/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+8.8%
Confidence
98/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-24.0%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$77.73
All-in cost
$107+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$311
Expected proceeds
$81.1530% gem → $93.28 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$25.58
Breakeven graded value
$409value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
15.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-21.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
17active listings
Recent sold avg
$69.64mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$55.01cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$56.48
Median
$62.95
Mean
$64.11
Max
$72.02

Showing 8 of 8 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps78.5750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices89.2825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection91.8525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.7520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$55.01eBayNear Mint7070d agoJun 9View
$56.10Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6174d agoJan 1View
$58.81MercariNear Mint9369d agoJan 1View
$58.88Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6461d agoJan 1View
$61.15MercariNear Mint9662d agoJan 1View
$61.47PWCCNear Mint7155d agoJan 1View
$61.93MercariNear Mint6056d agoJan 1View
$62.87Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9075d agoJan 1View
$64.61eBayNear Mint9069d agoJan 1View
$66.40Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6858d agoJan 1View
$68.32Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6258d agoJan 1View
$68.65PWCCNear Mint9072d agoJun 9View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$69.07MercariNear Mint73d ago
$67.82PWCCNear Mint74d ago
$72.02PWCCNear Mint76d ago
$59.83PWCCNear Mint98d ago
$56.48PWCCNear Mint99d ago
$62.98eBayNear Mint101d ago
$61.76TCGPlayerNear Mint103d ago
$62.92eBayNear Mint114d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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