Blaziken
SimulatedBlaziken · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 15
Character: Blaziken
Price History
Opportunity Score
55- 20% below fair value+24 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish23Blaziken is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-24.4%). Estimated fair value is $35 against a lowest active listing of $28. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-24.4% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $28.19
- All-in cost
- $57.19+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $113
- Expected proceeds
- $29.4330% gem → $33.83 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.76
- Breakeven graded value
- $219value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 4.3dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 26.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -24.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 20active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $95.75mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $72.49cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $90.38
- Median
- $96.14
- Mean
- $99.67
- Max
- $120
Showing 9 of 9 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 36.8 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 32.28 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 28.6 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.16 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $72.49 | eBay | Near Mint | 78 | 69d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $74.20 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 85 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $75.40 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $77.36 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 68 | 69d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $79.89 | Mercari | Near Mint | 65 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $79.96 | PWCC | Near Mint | 96 | 68d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $80.86 | eBay | Near Mint | 77 | 65d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $81.36 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 75d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $82.65 | PWCC | Near Mint | 68 | 58d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $82.68 | Mercari | Near Mint | 74 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $84.03 | PWCC | Near Mint | 65 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $84.48 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 98 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $90.38 | Mercari | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $96.14 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $95.98 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $96.54 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $90.76 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 77d ago |
| $94.45 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 82d ago |
| $106 | Mercari | Near Mint | 90d ago |
| $120 | eBay | Near Mint | 99d ago |
| $107 | eBay | Near Mint | 103d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GoldeenEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $310 | $263 | 15.4% | 8.0% | 9 | 41 |
 SilcoonEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $146 | $126 | 13.4% | 31.7% | 21 | 58 |
 WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $242 | $226 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13 | 35 |
 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $127 | $117 | 8.2% | 22.8% | 19 | 42 |
 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $175 | $150 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 22 | 43 |
 BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $97.90 | $94.85 | 3.1% | 77.0% | 11 | 37 |