Blastoise Secret Rare
SimulatedBlastoise Secret Rare · XY Evolutions · Secret Rare · 78/108
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
34- Low active inventory+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish20Blastoise Secret Rare is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-20.3%). Estimated fair value is $266 against a lowest active listing of $269. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-20.3% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 264.1 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 274.66 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 234.98 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.53 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 61 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $245 | PWCC | Near Mint | 89 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $246 | Mercari | Near Mint | 78 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $248 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $251 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $263 | Mercari | Near Mint | 63 | 12d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $279 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $280 | eBay | Near Mint | 93 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $282 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 90 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $284 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 77 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $286 | Mercari | Near Mint | 63 | 13d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $289 | Mercari | Near Mint | 77 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $286 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $294 | Mercari | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $301 | eBay | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $334 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $310 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $318 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $335 | Mercari | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $343 | PWCC | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $370 | eBay | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $375 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $365 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $383 | PWCC | Near Mint | 34d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
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Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
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Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
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