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Greninja Secret Rare

PSA 9Simulated

Greninja Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 37/237

Character: Greninja

high confidencebullish7230d 8.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$265
Lowest listing $2438.6% below
Bear Case
$230
Base Case
$265
Bull Case
$301

Price History

Dec 2Range $164$340May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Population growth slowing+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish72

Greninja Secret Rare (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.7%). Estimated fair value is $265 against a lowest active listing of $243. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+8.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
10.5
Velocity Score
53/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+13.7%
Total Graded
5,018
Gem Mint
2,918
Population Growth
+4.0%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps256.1850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices274.4525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection267.4125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.9850%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.7420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$187TCGPlayerGraded691d agoJan 1View
$191MercariGraded8714d agoJan 1View
$193MercariGraded923d agoJan 1View
$196Facebook MarketplaceGraded7812d agoJun 1View
$201Facebook MarketplaceGraded641d agoMay 31View
$207Facebook MarketplaceGraded7112d agoJan 1View
$211Facebook MarketplaceGraded678d agoJan 1View
$216eBayGraded6612d agoJan 1View
$221eBayGraded6213d agoJun 1View
$230PWCCGraded921d agoJun 4View
$241PWCCGraded7610d agoJan 1View
$241PWCCGraded9916d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$200eBayGraded16h ago
$208MercariGraded1d ago
$206MercariGraded2d ago
$198Facebook MarketplaceGraded5d ago
$192eBayGraded6d ago
$213MercariGraded6d ago
$206TCGPlayerGraded6d ago
$206Facebook MarketplaceGraded15d ago
$213eBayGraded18d ago
$225PWCCGraded21d ago
$211PWCCGraded24d ago
$208TCGPlayerGraded25d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
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