Greninja Secret Rare
PSA 9SimulatedGreninja Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 37/237
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
43- 9% below fair value+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Population growth slowing+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish72Greninja Secret Rare (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.7%). Estimated fair value is $265 against a lowest active listing of $243. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 256.18 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 274.45 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 267.41 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.98 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.74 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $187 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 69 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $191 | Mercari | Graded | 87 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $193 | Mercari | Graded | 92 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $196 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 78 | 12d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $201 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 64 | 1d ago | May 31 | View |
| $207 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $211 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 67 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $216 | eBay | Graded | 66 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $221 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 13d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $230 | PWCC | Graded | 92 | 1d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $241 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $241 | PWCC | Graded | 99 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $200 | eBay | Graded | 16h ago |
| $208 | Mercari | Graded | 1d ago |
| $206 | Mercari | Graded | 2d ago |
| $198 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 5d ago |
| $192 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $213 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $206 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 6d ago |
| $206 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15d ago |
| $213 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $225 | PWCC | Graded | 21d ago |
| $211 | PWCC | Graded | 24d ago |
| $208 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
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Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
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Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
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