Dragonite Holo Rare
SimulatedDragonite Holo Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Holo Rare · 156/207
Character: Dragonite
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- 7% below fair value+9 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral53Dragonite Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.2%). Estimated fair value is $94 against a lowest active listing of $87. Valuation confidence is medium based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 86.07 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 100.08 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 86.66 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.43 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80.14 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 74 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.72 | eBay | Near Mint | 66 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $87.86 | PWCC | Near Mint | 68 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $90.94 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $91.50 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $91.58 | eBay | Near Mint | 80 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.75 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 65 | 15d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $94.45 | Mercari | Near Mint | 80 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $94.68 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 77 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $94.90 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 97 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $97.22 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 95 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $97.44 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 95 | 16d ago | May 31 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $92.86 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $79.84 | eBay | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $81.33 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $77.76 | Mercari | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $80.50 | PWCC | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $63.05 | PWCC | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $66.52 | PWCC | Near Mint | 49d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $725 | $741 | -2.3% | 30.6% | 8 | 34 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $312 | $288 | 7.5% | 13.9% | 4 | 43 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $476 | $419 | 11.9% | 14.5% | 5 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $277 | $254 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 6 | 44 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $620 | $519 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 15 | 43 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $302 | $254 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 16 | 43 |