Hippopotas

Simulated

Hippopotas · Prismatic Evolutions · Common · 52

Character: Hippopotas

high confidenceneutral5430d 4.0%

Estimated Fair Value

$35.93

Lowest listing $30.1016.2% below

Search live listings:eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

Bear Case

$30.42

Base Case

$35.93

Bull Case

$41.57

Price History

Dec 8Range $45.09 – $73.25Jun 5

Opportunity Score

16% below fair value+19 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts
Reputable seller+7 pts
Sales accelerating+6 pts
High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral54

Hippopotas is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-4.0%). Estimated fair value is $36 against a lowest active listing of $30. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings

Sales / Month

17.5

Velocity Score

88/100

Fast-moving

Sales Velocity 30d

+15.6%

Confidence

96/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)

-46.8%

Grading not economical

unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost: $30.10
All-in cost: $59.10+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem): $120
Expected proceeds: $31.4230% gem → $36.12 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card: -$27.68
Breakeven graded value: $226value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

Gem-grade rate30%

Grading fee / card$25.00

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated

Days to sell: 1.6dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through: 92.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread: -4.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth: 2active listings
Recent sold avg: $66.98mean over 90d
Lowest ask: $64.26cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Trim outliers (IQR)

Sold from

Sold to

Min: $49.83
Median: $64.79
Mean: $63.85
Max: $73.80

Showing 36 of 36 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

Signal	Detail	Reference	Weight
recent sales	Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps	34.8	50%
listing inventory	Average of active listing asking prices	34.27	25%
price trend	Recent historical price trend projection	35.52	25%
demand momentum	Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)	3.12	20%

Active Listings

Price	Marketplace	Condition	Seller	Listed	Ends	Link
$64.26	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	98	58d ago	Jun 6	View
$66.05	eBay	Near Mint	65	66d ago	Jan 1	View

Recent Sales

Price	Marketplace	Condition	Sold
$64.23	eBay	Near Mint	54d ago
$65.07	eBay	Near Mint	56d ago
$69.86	Mercari	Near Mint	60d ago
$71.82	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	60d ago
$68.82	PWCC	Near Mint	65d ago
$64.50	eBay	Near Mint	67d ago
$70.34	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	68d ago
$72.58	Facebook Marketplace	Near Mint	68d ago
$65.87	Mercari	Near Mint	70d ago
$67.68	PWCC	Near Mint	71d ago
$68.98	Mercari	Near Mint	71d ago
$62.54	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	73d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price: Simulated
Fair value basis: Simulated
Lowest ask (deal): Simulated
Active listings: Simulated
Card image: Live
Recent sales: Simulated
Population data: Simulated
Liquidity metrics: Simulated
Liquidity analytics: Simulated
Price history: Simulated

Same character or set.

Asset	Fair Value	Lowest	Discount	30d	Avail	Score
UmbreonPrismatic EvolutionsPSA 9Simulated 7% below fair value+8 pts Population growth slowing+8 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$16,878	$15,719	6.9%	1.8%	19	41
EspeonPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated 10% below fair value+12 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$1,611	$1,448	10.1%	9.9%	21	43
Sylveon exPrismatic EvolutionsPSA 10Simulated 11% below fair value+13 pts Sales accelerating+7 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$3,537	$3,153	10.8%	2.0%	11	42
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer BoxPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated Price up 34% over 30 days+8 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts Reputable seller+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$1,750	$1,716	1.9%	33.6%	13	36
Lucario exPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated 12% below fair value+14 pts Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$703	$621	11.7%	19.6%	19	47
Prismatic Evolutions Booster BundlePrismatic EvolutionsSimulated 13% below fair value+15 pts Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$285	$248	13.0%	23.2%	19	47

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Signal

Detail

Reference

Weight

recent sales

Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps

34.8

50%

listing inventory

Average of active listing asking prices

34.27

25%

price trend

Recent historical price trend projection

35.52

25%

demand momentum

Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)

3.12

20%

Price

Marketplace

Condition

Seller

Listed

Ends

Link

$64.26

TCGPlayer

Near Mint

58d ago

Jun 6

View

$66.05

eBay

Near Mint

66d ago

Jan 1

View

Price

Marketplace

Condition

Sold

$64.23

eBay

Near Mint

54d ago

$65.07

eBay

Near Mint

56d ago

$69.86

Mercari

Near Mint

60d ago

$71.82

TCGPlayer

Near Mint

60d ago

$68.82

PWCC

Near Mint

65d ago

$64.50

eBay

Near Mint

67d ago

$70.34

TCGPlayer

Near Mint

68d ago

$72.58

Facebook Marketplace

Near Mint

68d ago

$65.87

Mercari

Near Mint

70d ago

$67.68

PWCC

Near Mint

71d ago

$68.98

Mercari

Near Mint

71d ago

$62.54

TCGPlayer

Near Mint

73d ago

Asset

Fair Value

Lowest

Discount

30d

Avail

Score

UmbreonPrismatic EvolutionsPSA 9Simulated

7% below fair value+8 pts
Population growth slowing+8 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$16,878

$15,719

6.9%

1.8%

EspeonPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated

10% below fair value+12 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts
High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$1,611

$1,448

10.1%

9.9%

Sylveon ex — Prismatic Evolutions — Double Rare

Sylveon exPrismatic EvolutionsPSA 10Simulated

11% below fair value+13 pts
Sales accelerating+7 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$3,537

$3,153

10.8%

2.0%

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box — Prismatic Evolutions — Sealed

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer BoxPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated

Price up 34% over 30 days+8 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts
Reputable seller+6 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$1,750

$1,716

1.9%

33.6%

Lucario ex — Prismatic Evolutions — Double Rare

Lucario exPrismatic EvolutionsSimulated

12% below fair value+14 pts
Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$703

$621

11.7%

19.6%

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle — Prismatic Evolutions — Sealed

Prismatic Evolutions Booster BundlePrismatic EvolutionsSimulated

13% below fair value+15 pts
Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts
High valuation confidence+7 pts

eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

$285

$248

13.0%

23.2%

Price History

Opportunity Score

Investment Thesis